Recent short-range ensemble forecasts for Istanbul highlight tight clustering around 26–28°C maxima on July 7 due to competing influences from Aegean and Black Sea breezes that moderate daytime heating while seasonal July averages hover near 28°C. Model runs show modest day-to-day variability driven by potential increases in cloud cover, northerly flow, or localized sea-breeze effects that cap highs slightly below climatological norms, supporting the market’s near-even split between the leading 26°C and 27°C outcomes. Official guidance from regional meteorological services and updated model consensus expected in the next 24–48 hours will further narrow resolution probabilities as the event window approaches.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Стамбуле 7 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Стамбуле 7 июля?
27°C 100.0%
22°C или ниже <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$81,909 Объем
$81,909 Объем
7 июл. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
Нет
23°C
Нет
24°C
Нет
25°C
Нет
26°C
Нет
27°C
Да
28°C
Нет
29°C
Нет
30°C
Нет
31°C
Нет
32°C или выше
Нет
27°C 100.0%
22°C или ниже <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$81,909 Объем
$81,909 Объем
7 июл. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
$3,706 Объем
Нет
23°C
$3,372 Объем
Нет
24°C
$4,081 Объем
Нет
25°C
$5,981 Объем
Нет
26°C
$16,105 Объем
Нет
27°C
$21,376 Объем
Да
28°C
$7,214 Объем
Нет
29°C
$5,108 Объем
Нет
30°C
$6,893 Объем
Нет
31°C
$4,490 Объем
Нет
32°C или выше
$3,584 Объем
Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble forecasts for Istanbul highlight tight clustering around 26–28°C maxima on July 7 due to competing influences from Aegean and Black Sea breezes that moderate daytime heating while seasonal July averages hover near 28°C. Model runs show modest day-to-day variability driven by potential increases in cloud cover, northerly flow, or localized sea-breeze effects that cap highs slightly below climatological norms, supporting the market’s near-even split between the leading 26°C and 27°C outcomes. Official guidance from regional meteorological services and updated model consensus expected in the next 24–48 hours will further narrow resolution probabilities as the event window approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$81,909Дата окончания
7 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble forecasts for Istanbul highlight tight clustering around 26–28°C maxima on July 7 due to competing influences from Aegean and Black Sea breezes that moderate daytime heating while seasonal July averages hover near 28°C. Model runs show modest day-to-day variability driven by potential increases in cloud cover, northerly flow, or localized sea-breeze effects that cap highs slightly below climatological norms, supporting the market’s near-even split between the leading 26°C and 27°C outcomes. Official guidance from regional meteorological services and updated model consensus expected in the next 24–48 hours will further narrow resolution probabilities as the event window approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$81,909Дата окончания
7 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Recent short-range ensemble forecasts for Istanbul highlight tight clustering around 26–28°C maxima on July 7 due to competing influences from Aegean and Black Sea breezes that moderate daytime heating while seasonal July averages hover near 28°C. Model runs show modest day-to-day variability driven by potential increases in cloud cover, northerly flow, or localized sea-breeze effects that cap highs slightly below climatological norms, supporting the market’s near-even split between the leading 26°C and 27°C outcomes. Official guidance from regional meteorological services and updated model consensus expected in the next 24–48 hours will further narrow resolution probabilities as the event window approaches.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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