Recent model runs indicate a frontal system and associated moisture could moderate Beijing's peak temperatures on June 23, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31°C. Key scientific variables include steering patterns from the subtropical high, which may allow cooler northerly flow or increased cloud cover and showers to cap afternoon heating, versus clearer conditions permitting stronger insolation and surface warming. Historical June climatology shows typical highs near 30°C, but forecast uncertainty in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture explains why outcomes from 28°C to 32°C dominate trader positioning ahead of updated NWP guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on June 23?
Highest temperature in Beijing on June 23?
27°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$110,223 Объем
$110,223 Объем
23 июн. 2026 г.
26°C or below
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$110,223 Объем
$110,223 Объем
23 июн. 2026 г.
26°C or below
$25,544 Объем
No
27°C
$24,519 Объем
Yes
28°C
$10,665 Объем
No
29°C
$10,292 Объем
No
30°C
$12,415 Объем
No
31°C
$10,108 Объем
No
32°C
$8,200 Объем
No
33°C
$3,081 Объем
No
34°C
$3,458 Объем
No
35°C
$1,161 Объем
No
36°C or higher
$781 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs indicate a frontal system and associated moisture could moderate Beijing's peak temperatures on June 23, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31°C. Key scientific variables include steering patterns from the subtropical high, which may allow cooler northerly flow or increased cloud cover and showers to cap afternoon heating, versus clearer conditions permitting stronger insolation and surface warming. Historical June climatology shows typical highs near 30°C, but forecast uncertainty in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture explains why outcomes from 28°C to 32°C dominate trader positioning ahead of updated NWP guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 21, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Объем
$110,223Дата окончания
23 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 21, 2026, 12:06 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs indicate a frontal system and associated moisture could moderate Beijing's peak temperatures on June 23, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31°C. Key scientific variables include steering patterns from the subtropical high, which may allow cooler northerly flow or increased cloud cover and showers to cap afternoon heating, versus clearer conditions permitting stronger insolation and surface warming. Historical June climatology shows typical highs near 30°C, but forecast uncertainty in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture explains why outcomes from 28°C to 32°C dominate trader positioning ahead of updated NWP guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$110,223Дата окончания
23 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 21, 2026, 12:06 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Recent model runs indicate a frontal system and associated moisture could moderate Beijing's peak temperatures on June 23, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31°C. Key scientific variables include steering patterns from the subtropical high, which may allow cooler northerly flow or increased cloud cover and showers to cap afternoon heating, versus clearer conditions permitting stronger insolation and surface warming. Historical June climatology shows typical highs near 30°C, but forecast uncertainty in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture explains why outcomes from 28°C to 32°C dominate trader positioning ahead of updated NWP guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы