Current meteorological forecasts from China's official monitoring agencies project a cooler-than-average spring day in Beijing on May 23, with model consensus and recent observations supporting a daily maximum at or below 26°C. This positions the market-implied odds at near-certainty for the leading outcome, reflecting traders' assessment of stable atmospheric patterns, including northeast winds and moderate humidity levels that limit daytime warming. Historical May highs typically reach 26–30°C, making today's conditions an outlier driven by short-term synoptic influences. While forecast revisions remain possible before the end of the observation period, the convergence of multiple model runs and on-site data substantially reduces uncertainty around exceeding the threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on May 23?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 23?
26°C or below 100.0%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$73,981 Объем
$73,981 Объем
23 мая 2026 г.
26°C or below
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
26°C or below 100.0%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$73,981 Объем
$73,981 Объем
23 мая 2026 г.
26°C or below
$21,072 Объем
Yes
27°C
$17,075 Объем
No
28°C
$12,575 Объем
No
29°C
$8,760 Объем
No
30°C
$4,739 Объем
No
31°C
$3,366 Объем
No
32°C
$1,818 Объем
No
33°C
$1,103 Объем
No
34°C
$883 Объем
No
35°C
$868 Объем
No
36°C or higher
$1,723 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological forecasts from China's official monitoring agencies project a cooler-than-average spring day in Beijing on May 23, with model consensus and recent observations supporting a daily maximum at or below 26°C. This positions the market-implied odds at near-certainty for the leading outcome, reflecting traders' assessment of stable atmospheric patterns, including northeast winds and moderate humidity levels that limit daytime warming. Historical May highs typically reach 26–30°C, making today's conditions an outlier driven by short-term synoptic influences. While forecast revisions remain possible before the end of the observation period, the convergence of multiple model runs and on-site data substantially reduces uncertainty around exceeding the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 21, 2026, 6:31 AM ET
Объем
$73,981Дата окончания
23 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 21, 2026, 6:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological forecasts from China's official monitoring agencies project a cooler-than-average spring day in Beijing on May 23, with model consensus and recent observations supporting a daily maximum at or below 26°C. This positions the market-implied odds at near-certainty for the leading outcome, reflecting traders' assessment of stable atmospheric patterns, including northeast winds and moderate humidity levels that limit daytime warming. Historical May highs typically reach 26–30°C, making today's conditions an outlier driven by short-term synoptic influences. While forecast revisions remain possible before the end of the observation period, the convergence of multiple model runs and on-site data substantially reduces uncertainty around exceeding the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$73,981Дата окончания
23 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 21, 2026, 6:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
Current meteorological forecasts from China's official monitoring agencies project a cooler-than-average spring day in Beijing on May 23, with model consensus and recent observations supporting a daily maximum at or below 26°C. This positions the market-implied odds at near-certainty for the leading outcome, reflecting traders' assessment of stable atmospheric patterns, including northeast winds and moderate humidity levels that limit daytime warming. Historical May highs typically reach 26–30°C, making today's conditions an outlier driven by short-term synoptic influences. While forecast revisions remain possible before the end of the observation period, the convergence of multiple model runs and on-site data substantially reduces uncertainty around exceeding the threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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