Official observational data from China Meteorological Administration surface stations, including Beijing Capital International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm May 9's daily high temperature at around 18°C (64°F), driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 22°C or below. Morning readings in the mid-teens Celsius under variable cloud cover and a lingering cool air mass prevented daytime warming, diverging from historical May averages near 26°C amid recent frontal passages. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified measurements with minimal uncertainty, as daily highs rarely revise post-publication. A contrasting heat wave forecast for May 10, with highs nearing 32°C, highlights sharp meteorological shifts but cannot alter today's resolved outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on May 9?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 9?
22°C or below 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$120,799 Объем
$120,799 Объем
9 мая 2026 г.
22°C or below
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
22°C or below 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$120,799 Объем
$120,799 Объем
9 мая 2026 г.
22°C or below
$18,064 Объем
Yes
23°C
$19,717 Объем
No
24°C
$12,951 Объем
No
25°C
$10,871 Объем
No
26°C
$9,026 Объем
No
27°C
$10,681 Объем
No
28°C
$10,146 Объем
No
29°C
$8,272 Объем
No
30°C
$8,628 Объем
No
31°C
$4,964 Объем
No
32°C or higher
$7,479 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from China Meteorological Administration surface stations, including Beijing Capital International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm May 9's daily high temperature at around 18°C (64°F), driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 22°C or below. Morning readings in the mid-teens Celsius under variable cloud cover and a lingering cool air mass prevented daytime warming, diverging from historical May averages near 26°C amid recent frontal passages. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified measurements with minimal uncertainty, as daily highs rarely revise post-publication. A contrasting heat wave forecast for May 10, with highs nearing 32°C, highlights sharp meteorological shifts but cannot alter today's resolved outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Объем
$120,799Дата окончания
9 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from China Meteorological Administration surface stations, including Beijing Capital International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm May 9's daily high temperature at around 18°C (64°F), driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 22°C or below. Morning readings in the mid-teens Celsius under variable cloud cover and a lingering cool air mass prevented daytime warming, diverging from historical May averages near 26°C amid recent frontal passages. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified measurements with minimal uncertainty, as daily highs rarely revise post-publication. A contrasting heat wave forecast for May 10, with highs nearing 32°C, highlights sharp meteorological shifts but cannot alter today's resolved outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$120,799Дата окончания
9 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
Official observational data from China Meteorological Administration surface stations, including Beijing Capital International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm May 9's daily high temperature at around 18°C (64°F), driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 22°C or below. Morning readings in the mid-teens Celsius under variable cloud cover and a lingering cool air mass prevented daytime warming, diverging from historical May averages near 26°C amid recent frontal passages. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified measurements with minimal uncertainty, as daily highs rarely revise post-publication. A contrasting heat wave forecast for May 10, with highs nearing 32°C, highlights sharp meteorological shifts but cannot alter today's resolved outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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