Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in short-range weather models for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 17, with the 26°C outcome leading at 35.5% implied probability amid a tight cluster around 25–28°C outcomes. Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance and AccuWeather forecasts indicate highs near 23–25°C under partly cloudy skies, consistent with April climatology averaging 22°C highs but elevated by +1°C monthly anomaly so far. Differentiating factors include potential northerly winds enhancing warm air advection versus increased cloud cover or southerly shifts capping peaks at 22–24°C; global models like ECMWF and GFS show spread of 20–27°C. New SMN updates and model runs expected within 24–48 hours could sharpen resolution criteria based on Aeroparque observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 17?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 17?
25°C 28%
26°C 28%
23°C 16%
24°C 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 апр. 2026 г.
18°C or below
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
7%
22°C
9%
23°C
22%
24°C
15%
25°C
28%
26°C
28%
27°C
11%
28°C or higher
6%
25°C 28%
26°C 28%
23°C 16%
24°C 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 апр. 2026 г.
18°C or below
$335 Объем
1%
19°C
$136 Объем
4%
20°C
$129 Объем
4%
21°C
$0 Объем
7%
22°C
$0 Объем
9%
23°C
$24 Объем
22%
24°C
$6 Объем
15%
25°C
$6 Объем
28%
26°C
$10 Объем
28%
27°C
$26 Объем
11%
28°C or higher
$1 Объем
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in short-range weather models for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 17, with the 26°C outcome leading at 35.5% implied probability amid a tight cluster around 25–28°C outcomes. Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance and AccuWeather forecasts indicate highs near 23–25°C under partly cloudy skies, consistent with April climatology averaging 22°C highs but elevated by +1°C monthly anomaly so far. Differentiating factors include potential northerly winds enhancing warm air advection versus increased cloud cover or southerly shifts capping peaks at 22–24°C; global models like ECMWF and GFS show spread of 20–27°C. New SMN updates and model runs expected within 24–48 hours could sharpen resolution criteria based on Aeroparque observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Объем
$571Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in short-range weather models for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 17, with the 26°C outcome leading at 35.5% implied probability amid a tight cluster around 25–28°C outcomes. Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance and AccuWeather forecasts indicate highs near 23–25°C under partly cloudy skies, consistent with April climatology averaging 22°C highs but elevated by +1°C monthly anomaly so far. Differentiating factors include potential northerly winds enhancing warm air advection versus increased cloud cover or southerly shifts capping peaks at 22–24°C; global models like ECMWF and GFS show spread of 20–27°C. New SMN updates and model runs expected within 24–48 hours could sharpen resolution criteria based on Aeroparque observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$571Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in short-range weather models for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 17, with the 26°C outcome leading at 35.5% implied probability amid a tight cluster around 25–28°C outcomes. Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance and AccuWeather forecasts indicate highs near 23–25°C under partly cloudy skies, consistent with April climatology averaging 22°C highs but elevated by +1°C monthly anomaly so far. Differentiating factors include potential northerly winds enhancing warm air advection versus increased cloud cover or southerly shifts capping peaks at 22–24°C; global models like ECMWF and GFS show spread of 20–27°C. New SMN updates and model runs expected within 24–48 hours could sharpen resolution criteria based on Aeroparque observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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