Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional at Ministro Pistarini International Airport—the market's resolution authority—confirm Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 3, 2026, peaked at 17°C around 4:00 p.m. local time under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and no precipitation. This outcome matched pre-event forecast consensus from SMN models predicting subdued autumn highs amid a cool air mass over the Pampas region, where May climatology averages 18–19°C but synoptic patterns like weak high-pressure ridging often cap peaks. Trader-implied odds at 100% for 17°C reflect this skin-in-the-game validation of precise, WMO-standard measurements. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare data revisions from instrument audits, with negligible probability post-quality assurance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 3?
17°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$95,231 Объем
$95,231 Объем
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$95,231 Объем
$95,231 Объем
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 1, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional at Ministro Pistarini International Airport—the market's resolution authority—confirm Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 3, 2026, peaked at 17°C around 4:00 p.m. local time under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and no precipitation. This outcome matched pre-event forecast consensus from SMN models predicting subdued autumn highs amid a cool air mass over the Pampas region, where May climatology averages 18–19°C but synoptic patterns like weak high-pressure ridging often cap peaks. Trader-implied odds at 100% for 17°C reflect this skin-in-the-game validation of precise, WMO-standard measurements. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare data revisions from instrument audits, with negligible probability post-quality assurance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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