**Official observational data from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Ministro Pistarini International Airport (Ezeiza)—the standard reference for Buenos Aires temperature markets—confirm a high of 22°C on May 4, 2026, driving the market's unanimous 100% implied probability on this outcome.** This precise match with SMN's pre-event forecast and consensus from global models like ECMWF and GFS reflects stable atmospheric conditions: a lingering cool air mass over central Argentina suppressed daytime heating amid light winds and partial cloud cover, consistent with autumnal norms where May highs typically average 18–20°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty, such as a post hoc data revision from preliminary to final records, are highly improbable given the low forecast uncertainty and rapid alignment of trader sentiment with verified measurements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 4?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 4?
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$66,854 Объем
$66,854 Объем
4 мая 2026 г.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$66,854 Объем
$66,854 Объем
4 мая 2026 г.
15°C or below
$3,305 Объем
No
16°C
$1,347 Объем
No
17°C
$2,065 Объем
No
18°C
$2,875 Объем
No
19°C
$5,193 Объем
No
20°C
$12,089 Объем
No
21°C
$8,684 Объем
No
22°C
$9,605 Объем
Yes
23°C
$11,657 Объем
No
24°C
$6,997 Объем
No
25°C or higher
$3,037 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observational data from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Ministro Pistarini International Airport (Ezeiza)—the standard reference for Buenos Aires temperature markets—confirm a high of 22°C on May 4, 2026, driving the market's unanimous 100% implied probability on this outcome.** This precise match with SMN's pre-event forecast and consensus from global models like ECMWF and GFS reflects stable atmospheric conditions: a lingering cool air mass over central Argentina suppressed daytime heating amid light winds and partial cloud cover, consistent with autumnal norms where May highs typically average 18–20°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty, such as a post hoc data revision from preliminary to final records, are highly improbable given the low forecast uncertainty and rapid alignment of trader sentiment with verified measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Объем
$66,854Дата окончания
4 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observational data from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Ministro Pistarini International Airport (Ezeiza)—the standard reference for Buenos Aires temperature markets—confirm a high of 22°C on May 4, 2026, driving the market's unanimous 100% implied probability on this outcome.** This precise match with SMN's pre-event forecast and consensus from global models like ECMWF and GFS reflects stable atmospheric conditions: a lingering cool air mass over central Argentina suppressed daytime heating amid light winds and partial cloud cover, consistent with autumnal norms where May highs typically average 18–20°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty, such as a post hoc data revision from preliminary to final records, are highly improbable given the low forecast uncertainty and rapid alignment of trader sentiment with verified measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$66,854Дата окончания
4 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
**Official observational data from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Ministro Pistarini International Airport (Ezeiza)—the standard reference for Buenos Aires temperature markets—confirm a high of 22°C on May 4, 2026, driving the market's unanimous 100% implied probability on this outcome.** This precise match with SMN's pre-event forecast and consensus from global models like ECMWF and GFS reflects stable atmospheric conditions: a lingering cool air mass over central Argentina suppressed daytime heating amid light winds and partial cloud cover, consistent with autumnal norms where May highs typically average 18–20°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty, such as a post hoc data revision from preliminary to final records, are highly improbable given the low forecast uncertainty and rapid alignment of trader sentiment with verified measurements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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