Trader consensus on Busan's highest temperature April 18 splits nearly evenly between 25°C or higher (32.5% implied probability) and 22°C (32.0%), reflecting divergent Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF amid an unseasonal warm spell. Recent clear skies and southerly flows have driven highs above 21°C through April 16, defying mid-April climatology near 18°C at Gimhae Airport station, but incoming southeast rain—forecast at 10-40 mm—could cap solar heating and limit peaks to 20-22°C. Model spread hinges on frontal timing, cloud cover, and wind shear; fresh KMA updates expected within 24 hours may clarify before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Busan on April 18?
Highest temperature in Busan on April 18?
25°C or higher 32%
21°C 21%
22°C 20%
23°C 20%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
7%
18°C
8%
19°C
10%
20°C
18%
21°C
21%
22°C
20%
23°C
20%
24°C
18%
25°C or higher
32%
25°C or higher 32%
21°C 21%
22°C 20%
23°C 20%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
7%
18°C
8%
19°C
10%
20°C
18%
21°C
21%
22°C
20%
23°C
20%
24°C
18%
25°C or higher
32%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Busan's highest temperature April 18 splits nearly evenly between 25°C or higher (32.5% implied probability) and 22°C (32.0%), reflecting divergent Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF amid an unseasonal warm spell. Recent clear skies and southerly flows have driven highs above 21°C through April 16, defying mid-April climatology near 18°C at Gimhae Airport station, but incoming southeast rain—forecast at 10-40 mm—could cap solar heating and limit peaks to 20-22°C. Model spread hinges on frontal timing, cloud cover, and wind shear; fresh KMA updates expected within 24 hours may clarify before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы