Trader consensus on the Chengdu July 23 high centers on 38–40 °C because recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models show daytime maxima stabilizing in that narrow band under typical Sichuan Basin summer conditions. High humidity, weak steering flow, and urban heat-island effects support strong afternoon heating, while variable cloud cover and possible monsoon moisture intrusions introduce the main uncertainty that keeps adjacent outcomes within a few percentage points. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration will update overnight, with the next high-resolution runs expected to clarify whether subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture or insolation push the peak toward 39 °C or 40 °C. Historical July climatology for the region places the 90th-percentile daily maximum near 38 °C, underscoring why traders assign meaningful probability across this tight range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чэнду 23 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Чэнду 23 июля?
40°C 28%
39°C 26%
41°C 19%
38°C 17%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 июл. 2026 г.
34°C or below
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
2%
37°C
6%
38°C
17%
39°C
26%
40°C
28%
41°C
19%
42°C
7%
43°C
1%
44°C or higher
<1%
40°C 28%
39°C 26%
41°C 19%
38°C 17%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 июл. 2026 г.
34°C or below
$1,004 Объем
1%
35°C
$273 Объем
1%
36°C
$404 Объем
2%
37°C
$579 Объем
6%
38°C
$611 Объем
17%
39°C
$443 Объем
26%
40°C
$365 Объем
28%
41°C
$859 Объем
19%
42°C
$2,374 Объем
7%
43°C
$139 Объем
1%
44°C or higher
$152 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Chengdu July 23 high centers on 38–40 °C because recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models show daytime maxima stabilizing in that narrow band under typical Sichuan Basin summer conditions. High humidity, weak steering flow, and urban heat-island effects support strong afternoon heating, while variable cloud cover and possible monsoon moisture intrusions introduce the main uncertainty that keeps adjacent outcomes within a few percentage points. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration will update overnight, with the next high-resolution runs expected to clarify whether subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture or insolation push the peak toward 39 °C or 40 °C. Historical July climatology for the region places the 90th-percentile daily maximum near 38 °C, underscoring why traders assign meaningful probability across this tight range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 21, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$7,205Дата окончания
23 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 21, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Chengdu July 23 high centers on 38–40 °C because recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models show daytime maxima stabilizing in that narrow band under typical Sichuan Basin summer conditions. High humidity, weak steering flow, and urban heat-island effects support strong afternoon heating, while variable cloud cover and possible monsoon moisture intrusions introduce the main uncertainty that keeps adjacent outcomes within a few percentage points. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration will update overnight, with the next high-resolution runs expected to clarify whether subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture or insolation push the peak toward 39 °C or 40 °C. Historical July climatology for the region places the 90th-percentile daily maximum near 38 °C, underscoring why traders assign meaningful probability across this tight range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$7,205Дата окончания
23 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 21, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the Chengdu July 23 high centers on 38–40 °C because recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models show daytime maxima stabilizing in that narrow band under typical Sichuan Basin summer conditions. High humidity, weak steering flow, and urban heat-island effects support strong afternoon heating, while variable cloud cover and possible monsoon moisture intrusions introduce the main uncertainty that keeps adjacent outcomes within a few percentage points. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration will update overnight, with the next high-resolution runs expected to clarify whether subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture or insolation push the peak toward 39 °C or 40 °C. Historical July climatology for the region places the 90th-percentile daily maximum near 38 °C, underscoring why traders assign meaningful probability across this tight range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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