Trader consensus on the Cape Town maximum temperature for September 18 centers on 21°C and 22°C, reflecting model agreement for a mild spring day under clear skies and moderate southeasterly winds. Official guidance from sources including GFS data and regional forecasts indicates peak readings near 19–21°C, driven by stable high pressure and dry conditions that limit cloud cover and enhance daytime heating without significant advection of warmer air. Minor model spread arises from wind speed variations, which can influence boundary-layer mixing and exact highs by 1–2°C. With resolution imminent, these market-implied odds capture the narrow uncertainty band typical for short-range temperature forecasts in the region, where climatological September maxima average around 19°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Кейптауне 18 сентября?
21°C 53%
22°C 39%
23°C 6%
20°C 5%
16°C или ниже
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
5%
21°C
53%
22°C
39%
23°C
6%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C или выше
<1%
21°C 53%
22°C 39%
23°C 6%
20°C 5%
16°C или ниже
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
5%
21°C
53%
22°C
39%
23°C
6%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the Cape Town maximum temperature for September 18 centers on 21°C and 22°C, reflecting model agreement for a mild spring day under clear skies and moderate southeasterly winds. Official guidance from sources including GFS data and regional forecasts indicates peak readings near 19–21°C, driven by stable high pressure and dry conditions that limit cloud cover and enhance daytime heating without significant advection of warmer air. Minor model spread arises from wind speed variations, which can influence boundary-layer mixing and exact highs by 1–2°C. With resolution imminent, these market-implied odds capture the narrow uncertainty band typical for short-range temperature forecasts in the region, where climatological September maxima average around 19°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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