**Traders have converged on 15°C as the highest temperature in Wellington on September 17, 2026, at 99.7% implied probability, reflecting consensus from official forecasts.** Multiple meteorological sources, including MetService and international models, project a daytime maximum around 14–16°C under cloudy, rainy conditions with northerly winds shifting southerly, consistent with typical spring variability and preventing significant warming. Current observations near midday show readings in the mid-14°C range with high humidity and precipitation suppressing further rises. This positioning aligns with historical September averages near 14°C and recent model runs showing limited diurnal range. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-afternoon clearing or model error pushing the official station reading (likely Kelburn or airport) to 16°C or higher before sunset.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 17 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 17 сентября?
15°C 99.9%
9°C или ниже <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
НОВОЕ
$54,280 Объем
НОВОЕ
$54,280 Объем
17 сент. 2026 г.
9°C или ниже
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
100%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C или выше
<1%
15°C 99.9%
9°C или ниже <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
НОВОЕ
$54,280 Объем
НОВОЕ
$54,280 Объем
17 сент. 2026 г.
9°C или ниже
$261 Объем
<1%
10°C
$194 Объем
<1%
11°C
$449 Объем
<1%
12°C
$8,153 Объем
<1%
13°C
$9,980 Объем
<1%
14°C
$19,311 Объем
<1%
15°C
$10,599 Объем
100%
16°C
$4,846 Объем
<1%
17°C
$1,057 Объем
<1%
18°C
$494 Объем
<1%
19°C или выше
$399 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Traders have converged on 15°C as the highest temperature in Wellington on September 17, 2026, at 99.7% implied probability, reflecting consensus from official forecasts.** Multiple meteorological sources, including MetService and international models, project a daytime maximum around 14–16°C under cloudy, rainy conditions with northerly winds shifting southerly, consistent with typical spring variability and preventing significant warming. Current observations near midday show readings in the mid-14°C range with high humidity and precipitation suppressing further rises. This positioning aligns with historical September averages near 14°C and recent model runs showing limited diurnal range. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-afternoon clearing or model error pushing the official station reading (likely Kelburn or airport) to 16°C or higher before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$54,280Дата окончания
17 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Traders have converged on 15°C as the highest temperature in Wellington on September 17, 2026, at 99.7% implied probability, reflecting consensus from official forecasts.** Multiple meteorological sources, including MetService and international models, project a daytime maximum around 14–16°C under cloudy, rainy conditions with northerly winds shifting southerly, consistent with typical spring variability and preventing significant warming. Current observations near midday show readings in the mid-14°C range with high humidity and precipitation suppressing further rises. This positioning aligns with historical September averages near 14°C and recent model runs showing limited diurnal range. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-afternoon clearing or model error pushing the official station reading (likely Kelburn or airport) to 16°C or higher before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$54,280Дата окончания
17 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Traders have converged on 15°C as the highest temperature in Wellington on September 17, 2026, at 99.7% implied probability, reflecting consensus from official forecasts.** Multiple meteorological sources, including MetService and international models, project a daytime maximum around 14–16°C under cloudy, rainy conditions with northerly winds shifting southerly, consistent with typical spring variability and preventing significant warming. Current observations near midday show readings in the mid-14°C range with high humidity and precipitation suppressing further rises. This positioning aligns with historical September averages near 14°C and recent model runs showing limited diurnal range. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-afternoon clearing or model error pushing the official station reading (likely Kelburn or airport) to 16°C or higher before sunset.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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