**Trader sentiment for Buenos Aires' lowest temperature on September 18 remains evenly split between 8°C or below and exactly 9°C due to tight uncertainty in overnight minimum forecasts.** Numerical weather models show the daily low occurring in the pre-dawn hours under overcast skies with light northeasterly winds of 3–6 m/s and dew points near 11–13°C, conditions that limit radiative cooling but allow modest temperature drops depending on exact cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing. Recent observations from local stations indicate temperatures hovering around 13–15°C overnight, with model consensus placing the minimum near the 9°C threshold amid typical early-spring variability. Upcoming hourly updates from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will clarify whether subtle shifts in pressure gradients or moisture push the reading into the lower bin. This skin-in-the-game consensus highlights the narrow margin separating the leading outcomes amid inherent forecast spread.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Буэнос-Айресе 18 сентября?
8°C или ниже 100%
9°C 100%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
8°C или ниже
100%
9°C
100%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C или выше
<1%
8°C или ниже 100%
9°C 100%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
8°C или ниже
100%
9°C
100%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 16, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Buenos Aires' lowest temperature on September 18 remains evenly split between 8°C or below and exactly 9°C due to tight uncertainty in overnight minimum forecasts.** Numerical weather models show the daily low occurring in the pre-dawn hours under overcast skies with light northeasterly winds of 3–6 m/s and dew points near 11–13°C, conditions that limit radiative cooling but allow modest temperature drops depending on exact cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing. Recent observations from local stations indicate temperatures hovering around 13–15°C overnight, with model consensus placing the minimum near the 9°C threshold amid typical early-spring variability. Upcoming hourly updates from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will clarify whether subtle shifts in pressure gradients or moisture push the reading into the lower bin. This skin-in-the-game consensus highlights the narrow margin separating the leading outcomes amid inherent forecast spread.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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