Official forecasts from the National Weather Service indicate overnight lows in the mid-70s°F for Austin on September 20, driven by persistent southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and no approaching cold front to enhance radiational cooling. Model consensus across sources supports minimum temperatures near 74–77°F, with limited variability expected under typical late-summer humidity and light winds. Market-implied odds favoring 68–71°F ranges reflect trader emphasis on potential model spreads, historical September variability, or localized cooling pockets, though current data show these as lower-probability outcomes. Updated NWS briefings and evening model runs represent the next key catalysts that could realign probabilities with observed conditions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Остине 20 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Остине 20 сентября?
74-75°F 40%
76-77°F 40%
68-69°F 29%
70-71°F 22%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 сент. 2026 г.
65°F или ниже
2%
66-67°F
11%
68-69°F
29%
70-71°F
22%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
40%
76-77°F
40%
78-79°F
10%
80–81°F
7%
82-83°F
1%
84°F или выше
1%
74-75°F 40%
76-77°F 40%
68-69°F 29%
70-71°F 22%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 сент. 2026 г.
65°F или ниже
$0 Объем
2%
66-67°F
$0 Объем
11%
68-69°F
$8 Объем
29%
70-71°F
$9 Объем
22%
72-73°F
$5 Объем
22%
74-75°F
$0 Объем
40%
76-77°F
$0 Объем
40%
78-79°F
$20 Объем
10%
80–81°F
$0 Объем
7%
82-83°F
$0 Объем
1%
84°F или выше
$6 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service indicate overnight lows in the mid-70s°F for Austin on September 20, driven by persistent southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and no approaching cold front to enhance radiational cooling. Model consensus across sources supports minimum temperatures near 74–77°F, with limited variability expected under typical late-summer humidity and light winds. Market-implied odds favoring 68–71°F ranges reflect trader emphasis on potential model spreads, historical September variability, or localized cooling pockets, though current data show these as lower-probability outcomes. Updated NWS briefings and evening model runs represent the next key catalysts that could realign probabilities with observed conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 18, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Объем
$48Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 18, 2026, 3:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service indicate overnight lows in the mid-70s°F for Austin on September 20, driven by persistent southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and no approaching cold front to enhance radiational cooling. Model consensus across sources supports minimum temperatures near 74–77°F, with limited variability expected under typical late-summer humidity and light winds. Market-implied odds favoring 68–71°F ranges reflect trader emphasis on potential model spreads, historical September variability, or localized cooling pockets, though current data show these as lower-probability outcomes. Updated NWS briefings and evening model runs represent the next key catalysts that could realign probabilities with observed conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$48Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 18, 2026, 3:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service indicate overnight lows in the mid-70s°F for Austin on September 20, driven by persistent southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and no approaching cold front to enhance radiational cooling. Model consensus across sources supports minimum temperatures near 74–77°F, with limited variability expected under typical late-summer humidity and light winds. Market-implied odds favoring 68–71°F ranges reflect trader emphasis on potential model spreads, historical September variability, or localized cooling pockets, though current data show these as lower-probability outcomes. Updated NWS briefings and evening model runs represent the next key catalysts that could realign probabilities with observed conditions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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