Forecast models from sources including MetService and international guidance indicate a maximum of 15°C in Wellington on September 20 under southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderate winds, aligning with early-spring climatology near the seasonal average high of roughly 13–14°C. This produces the market's overwhelming 97% implied probability for 15°C. Minor model spreads or brief northerly shifts could allow a 16°C reading, while stronger southerlies or increased cloud cover would more likely cap readings at 14°C or below. Updated official forecasts and real-time observations on the day remain the key variables for any late adjustment in trader positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 20 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 20 сентября?
15°C 97%
16°C 2.4%
18°C <1%
9°C или ниже <1%
НОВОЕ
$72,183 Объем
НОВОЕ
$72,183 Объем
20 сент. 2026 г.
9°C или ниже
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
97%
16°C
2%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C или выше
<1%
15°C 97%
16°C 2.4%
18°C <1%
9°C или ниже <1%
НОВОЕ
$72,183 Объем
НОВОЕ
$72,183 Объем
20 сент. 2026 г.
9°C или ниже
$214 Объем
<1%
10°C
$952 Объем
<1%
11°C
$1,170 Объем
<1%
12°C
$1,862 Объем
<1%
13°C
$3,930 Объем
<1%
14°C
$24,532 Объем
<1%
15°C
$15,995 Объем
97%
16°C
$15,100 Объем
2%
17°C
$2,134 Объем
<1%
18°C
$5,214 Объем
<1%
19°C или выше
$1,081 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including MetService and international guidance indicate a maximum of 15°C in Wellington on September 20 under southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderate winds, aligning with early-spring climatology near the seasonal average high of roughly 13–14°C. This produces the market's overwhelming 97% implied probability for 15°C. Minor model spreads or brief northerly shifts could allow a 16°C reading, while stronger southerlies or increased cloud cover would more likely cap readings at 14°C or below. Updated official forecasts and real-time observations on the day remain the key variables for any late adjustment in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$72,183Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including MetService and international guidance indicate a maximum of 15°C in Wellington on September 20 under southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderate winds, aligning with early-spring climatology near the seasonal average high of roughly 13–14°C. This produces the market's overwhelming 97% implied probability for 15°C. Minor model spreads or brief northerly shifts could allow a 16°C reading, while stronger southerlies or increased cloud cover would more likely cap readings at 14°C or below. Updated official forecasts and real-time observations on the day remain the key variables for any late adjustment in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$72,183Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including MetService and international guidance indicate a maximum of 15°C in Wellington on September 20 under southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderate winds, aligning with early-spring climatology near the seasonal average high of roughly 13–14°C. This produces the market's overwhelming 97% implied probability for 15°C. Minor model spreads or brief northerly shifts could allow a 16°C reading, while stronger southerlies or increased cloud cover would more likely cap readings at 14°C or below. Updated official forecasts and real-time observations on the day remain the key variables for any late adjustment in trader positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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