**Latest MetService and international model guidance indicates a high of 14–15 °C for Wellington on 21 September under a strengthening northerly flow ahead of an approaching front.** Northerly winds are advecting milder maritime air, supporting afternoon maxima near 14 °C (57 °F) with partly cloudy skies and gusty conditions, while overnight lows remain around 8–9 °C. Ensemble runs show limited spread, with only modest potential for a 16 °C peak if winds remain stronger or cloud cover stays minimal. Historical September maxima average about 14 °C, placing the current setup close to seasonal norms. Traders have priced 15 °C as the modal outcome (58.5 % implied), reflecting the tight clustering of official forecasts and low expected variability before resolution. Updated model runs and MetService briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final observational tiebreaker.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 21 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 21 сентября?
15°C 58%
16°C 30%
14°C 13%
17°C 2%
НОВОЕ
$17,531 Объем
НОВОЕ
$17,531 Объем
21 сент. 2026 г.
10°C или ниже
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
13%
15°C
58%
16°C
30%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C или выше
<1%
15°C 58%
16°C 30%
14°C 13%
17°C 2%
НОВОЕ
$17,531 Объем
НОВОЕ
$17,531 Объем
21 сент. 2026 г.
10°C или ниже
$1,337 Объем
<1%
11°C
$987 Объем
<1%
12°C
$705 Объем
<1%
13°C
$1,280 Объем
1%
14°C
$3,003 Объем
13%
15°C
$5,094 Объем
58%
16°C
$3,312 Объем
30%
17°C
$1,298 Объем
2%
18°C
$226 Объем
<1%
19°C
$338 Объем
<1%
20°C или выше
$462 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest MetService and international model guidance indicates a high of 14–15 °C for Wellington on 21 September under a strengthening northerly flow ahead of an approaching front.** Northerly winds are advecting milder maritime air, supporting afternoon maxima near 14 °C (57 °F) with partly cloudy skies and gusty conditions, while overnight lows remain around 8–9 °C. Ensemble runs show limited spread, with only modest potential for a 16 °C peak if winds remain stronger or cloud cover stays minimal. Historical September maxima average about 14 °C, placing the current setup close to seasonal norms. Traders have priced 15 °C as the modal outcome (58.5 % implied), reflecting the tight clustering of official forecasts and low expected variability before resolution. Updated model runs and MetService briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final observational tiebreaker.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$17,531Дата окончания
21 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest MetService and international model guidance indicates a high of 14–15 °C for Wellington on 21 September under a strengthening northerly flow ahead of an approaching front.** Northerly winds are advecting milder maritime air, supporting afternoon maxima near 14 °C (57 °F) with partly cloudy skies and gusty conditions, while overnight lows remain around 8–9 °C. Ensemble runs show limited spread, with only modest potential for a 16 °C peak if winds remain stronger or cloud cover stays minimal. Historical September maxima average about 14 °C, placing the current setup close to seasonal norms. Traders have priced 15 °C as the modal outcome (58.5 % implied), reflecting the tight clustering of official forecasts and low expected variability before resolution. Updated model runs and MetService briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final observational tiebreaker.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$17,531Дата окончания
21 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Latest MetService and international model guidance indicates a high of 14–15 °C for Wellington on 21 September under a strengthening northerly flow ahead of an approaching front.** Northerly winds are advecting milder maritime air, supporting afternoon maxima near 14 °C (57 °F) with partly cloudy skies and gusty conditions, while overnight lows remain around 8–9 °C. Ensemble runs show limited spread, with only modest potential for a 16 °C peak if winds remain stronger or cloud cover stays minimal. Historical September maxima average about 14 °C, placing the current setup close to seasonal norms. Traders have priced 15 °C as the modal outcome (58.5 % implied), reflecting the tight clustering of official forecasts and low expected variability before resolution. Updated model runs and MetService briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final observational tiebreaker.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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