**Forecast models show Ankara's September 20 maximum temperature centered on 24–25 °C under stable high pressure, light northeasterly flow, and partly cloudy skies that limit but do not eliminate afternoon heating.** Multiple sources, including hourly guidance from Yr, PredictWind, and local Turkish outlets, project daytime peaks of 24 °C with some runs reaching 25 °C, consistent with the late-September climatological range near 24–26 °C. The tight spread between the two leading market outcomes (24 °C at 46.5 %, 25 °C at 37 %) reflects genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud timing, and station-specific measurement differences between central Ankara and airports such as Esenboğa. No significant synoptic changes are expected overnight, so fresh model runs or observational updates tomorrow morning represent the main near-term catalysts for any price movement. Traders are effectively pricing the narrow range of plausible official maxima given current ensemble consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Анкаре 20 сентября?
24°C 47%
25°C 37%
23°C 13%
26°C 2.2%
$16,233 Объем
$16,233 Объем
20°C или ниже
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
13%
24°C
47%
25°C
37%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C или выше
<1%
24°C 47%
25°C 37%
23°C 13%
26°C 2.2%
$16,233 Объем
$16,233 Объем
20°C или ниже
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
13%
24°C
47%
25°C
37%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models show Ankara's September 20 maximum temperature centered on 24–25 °C under stable high pressure, light northeasterly flow, and partly cloudy skies that limit but do not eliminate afternoon heating.** Multiple sources, including hourly guidance from Yr, PredictWind, and local Turkish outlets, project daytime peaks of 24 °C with some runs reaching 25 °C, consistent with the late-September climatological range near 24–26 °C. The tight spread between the two leading market outcomes (24 °C at 46.5 %, 25 °C at 37 %) reflects genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud timing, and station-specific measurement differences between central Ankara and airports such as Esenboğa. No significant synoptic changes are expected overnight, so fresh model runs or observational updates tomorrow morning represent the main near-term catalysts for any price movement. Traders are effectively pricing the narrow range of plausible official maxima given current ensemble consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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