Recent National Weather Service and private model consensus points to a daily maximum near 98°F in Austin on September 21 under mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow and no significant cloud cover or precipitation to limit insolation. This aligns with the market’s leading 98–99°F bin at 47.5% implied probability. Persistent high pressure and a broad heat wave have kept central Texas well above the 1991–2020 September 21 climatological average of 89.8°F, with multiple 99°F+ readings already this month. Minor model spread around 96–100°F accounts for the secondary probabilities on 96–97°F and 100–101°F, while the low odds on extremes reflect limited potential for rapid changes before the 48-hour forecast window closes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Остине 21 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Остине 21 сентября?
98-99°F 48%
100-101°F 36%
96-97°F 24%
102–103°F 19%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 сент. 2026 г.
89°F или ниже
5%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
5%
94-95°F
11%
96-97°F
24%
98-99°F
48%
100-101°F
36%
102–103°F
19%
104-105°F
10%
106-107°F
3%
108°F или выше
5%
98-99°F 48%
100-101°F 36%
96-97°F 24%
102–103°F 19%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 сент. 2026 г.
89°F или ниже
$0 Объем
5%
90-91°F
$41 Объем
9%
92-93°F
$17 Объем
5%
94-95°F
$0 Объем
11%
96-97°F
$28 Объем
24%
98-99°F
$33 Объем
48%
100-101°F
$0 Объем
36%
102–103°F
$0 Объем
19%
104-105°F
$0 Объем
10%
106-107°F
$0 Объем
3%
108°F или выше
$0 Объем
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model consensus points to a daily maximum near 98°F in Austin on September 21 under mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow and no significant cloud cover or precipitation to limit insolation. This aligns with the market’s leading 98–99°F bin at 47.5% implied probability. Persistent high pressure and a broad heat wave have kept central Texas well above the 1991–2020 September 21 climatological average of 89.8°F, with multiple 99°F+ readings already this month. Minor model spread around 96–100°F accounts for the secondary probabilities on 96–97°F and 100–101°F, while the low odds on extremes reflect limited potential for rapid changes before the 48-hour forecast window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 19, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Объем
$120Дата окончания
21 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 19, 2026, 3:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model consensus points to a daily maximum near 98°F in Austin on September 21 under mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow and no significant cloud cover or precipitation to limit insolation. This aligns with the market’s leading 98–99°F bin at 47.5% implied probability. Persistent high pressure and a broad heat wave have kept central Texas well above the 1991–2020 September 21 climatological average of 89.8°F, with multiple 99°F+ readings already this month. Minor model spread around 96–100°F accounts for the secondary probabilities on 96–97°F and 100–101°F, while the low odds on extremes reflect limited potential for rapid changes before the 48-hour forecast window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$120Дата окончания
21 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 19, 2026, 3:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model consensus points to a daily maximum near 98°F in Austin on September 21 under mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow and no significant cloud cover or precipitation to limit insolation. This aligns with the market’s leading 98–99°F bin at 47.5% implied probability. Persistent high pressure and a broad heat wave have kept central Texas well above the 1991–2020 September 21 climatological average of 89.8°F, with multiple 99°F+ readings already this month. Minor model spread around 96–100°F accounts for the secondary probabilities on 96–97°F and 100–101°F, while the low odds on extremes reflect limited potential for rapid changes before the 48-hour forecast window closes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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