Short-term weather model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a highest temperature of 26–28°C in Chongqing on September 19, with closely matched market odds reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and humidity levels tied to late-summer monsoon remnants, potential weak frontal passages that could suppress daytime maxima, and local topographic effects in the Sichuan Basin that moderate urban heat. Ensemble runs show modest spread due to timing of any ridge breakdown, while historical September baselines for the city average near 27°C. Updated model guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чунцине 19 сентября?
27°C 27%
26°C 25%
28°C 23%
29°C 17%
23°C или ниже
2%
24°C
8%
25°C
13%
26°C
25%
27°C
27%
28°C
28%
29°C
17%
30°C
12%
31°C
3%
32°C
2%
33°C или выше
2%
27°C 27%
26°C 25%
28°C 23%
29°C 17%
23°C или ниже
2%
24°C
8%
25°C
13%
26°C
25%
27°C
27%
28°C
28%
29°C
17%
30°C
12%
31°C
3%
32°C
2%
33°C или выше
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Short-term weather model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a highest temperature of 26–28°C in Chongqing on September 19, with closely matched market odds reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and humidity levels tied to late-summer monsoon remnants, potential weak frontal passages that could suppress daytime maxima, and local topographic effects in the Sichuan Basin that moderate urban heat. Ensemble runs show modest spread due to timing of any ridge breakdown, while historical September baselines for the city average near 27°C. Updated model guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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