Official National Weather Service observations from San Francisco stations recorded a daily maximum of 66–67°F on September 19, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s near-certain outcome. Persistent marine-layer stratus and onshore flow suppressed inland warming, holding coastal highs several degrees below the 1991–2020 normal of roughly 70–75°F and preventing the brief ridge-driven warming seen earlier in the month. With the date now past and preliminary climate summaries released, traders assigned essentially 100% probability to this bin because verified station data leave no realistic path to a different resolution. Minor upward revisions in final quality-controlled records remain possible but historically rare for this location and threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Франциско 19 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Сан-Франциско 19 сентября?
66-67°F 100.0%
65°F или ниже <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$37,554 Объем
$37,554 Объем
19 сент. 2026 г.
65°F или ниже
Нет
66-67°F
Да
68-69°F
Нет
70-71°F
Нет
72-73°F
Нет
74-75°F
Нет
76–77°F
Нет
78-79°F
Нет
80-81°F
Нет
82-83°F
Нет
84°F или выше
Нет
66-67°F 100.0%
65°F или ниже <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$37,554 Объем
$37,554 Объем
19 сент. 2026 г.
65°F или ниже
$1,416 Объем
Нет
66-67°F
$9,366 Объем
Да
68-69°F
$5,893 Объем
Нет
70-71°F
$4,961 Объем
Нет
72-73°F
$4,768 Объем
Нет
74-75°F
$3,038 Объем
Нет
76–77°F
$1,889 Объем
Нет
78-79°F
$1,982 Объем
Нет
80-81°F
$266 Объем
Нет
82-83°F
$1,363 Объем
Нет
84°F или выше
$2,612 Объем
Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from San Francisco stations recorded a daily maximum of 66–67°F on September 19, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s near-certain outcome. Persistent marine-layer stratus and onshore flow suppressed inland warming, holding coastal highs several degrees below the 1991–2020 normal of roughly 70–75°F and preventing the brief ridge-driven warming seen earlier in the month. With the date now past and preliminary climate summaries released, traders assigned essentially 100% probability to this bin because verified station data leave no realistic path to a different resolution. Minor upward revisions in final quality-controlled records remain possible but historically rare for this location and threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 17, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Объем
$37,554Дата окончания
19 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 17, 2026, 7:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from San Francisco stations recorded a daily maximum of 66–67°F on September 19, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s near-certain outcome. Persistent marine-layer stratus and onshore flow suppressed inland warming, holding coastal highs several degrees below the 1991–2020 normal of roughly 70–75°F and preventing the brief ridge-driven warming seen earlier in the month. With the date now past and preliminary climate summaries released, traders assigned essentially 100% probability to this bin because verified station data leave no realistic path to a different resolution. Minor upward revisions in final quality-controlled records remain possible but historically rare for this location and threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$37,554Дата окончания
19 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 17, 2026, 7:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Official National Weather Service observations from San Francisco stations recorded a daily maximum of 66–67°F on September 19, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s near-certain outcome. Persistent marine-layer stratus and onshore flow suppressed inland warming, holding coastal highs several degrees below the 1991–2020 normal of roughly 70–75°F and preventing the brief ridge-driven warming seen earlier in the month. With the date now past and preliminary climate summaries released, traders assigned essentially 100% probability to this bin because verified station data leave no realistic path to a different resolution. Minor upward revisions in final quality-controlled records remain possible but historically rare for this location and threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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