**Trader consensus has converged overwhelmingly on a 76-77°F low for Dallas on September 22, 2026, reflecting verified observational data from National Weather Service stations.** Persistent late-summer warmth kept overnight temperatures elevated, with the Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport recording a daily minimum of 73°F and nearby stations showing values clustered in the mid-70s amid clear skies and light northeast winds. This aligns with a broader pattern of above-normal temperatures—roughly 7°F above the 1991-2020 average low of 66°F—driven by the absence of significant cool-air intrusions and residual heat from an unusually warm September. Model guidance and real-time surface observations throughout the period reinforced this range, as did the lack of precipitation or frontal passages that could have allowed radiative cooling. A realistic challenge to the 76-77°F bin would require either a revised official minimum from a different reporting station falling into 74-75°F or an unexpected measurement adjustment, though current NWS summaries make such shifts unlikely given the consistent warm advection and high dew points limiting overnight drops.