**Southerly winds shifting behind a cold front are the main driver keeping Wellington's September 23 maximum near 10–11 °C.** Recent model runs and official guidance from MetService and international forecasts show a transition from northerly flow to cooler southerlies on the 22nd–23rd, with daytime highs forecast between 9–11 °C and a chance of showers that should clear by afternoon. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 11 °C (58 %) and 12 °C (24 %), while the 10 °C outcome at 15 % reflects residual model spread on exact timing of the clearance and wind strength. Historical September maxima average near 14 °C, so the current setup represents a notable cool anomaly driven by the frontal passage. Updated NWP runs and any late adjustments to the front's arrival will be the key near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 23 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 23 сентября?
11°C 55%
12°C 24%
10°C 20%
13°C 3%
НОВОЕ
$11,626 Объем
НОВОЕ
$11,626 Объем
23 сент. 2026 г.
5°C или ниже
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
3%
10°C
20%
11°C
55%
12°C
24%
13°C
3%
14°C
2%
15°C или выше
<1%
11°C 55%
12°C 24%
10°C 20%
13°C 3%
НОВОЕ
$11,626 Объем
НОВОЕ
$11,626 Объем
23 сент. 2026 г.
5°C или ниже
$218 Объем
<1%
6°C
$226 Объем
<1%
7°C
$189 Объем
<1%
8°C
$354 Объем
<1%
9°C
$892 Объем
3%
10°C
$1,637 Объем
20%
11°C
$1,589 Объем
55%
12°C
$3,866 Объем
24%
13°C
$937 Объем
3%
14°C
$558 Объем
2%
15°C или выше
$1,160 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Southerly winds shifting behind a cold front are the main driver keeping Wellington's September 23 maximum near 10–11 °C.** Recent model runs and official guidance from MetService and international forecasts show a transition from northerly flow to cooler southerlies on the 22nd–23rd, with daytime highs forecast between 9–11 °C and a chance of showers that should clear by afternoon. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 11 °C (58 %) and 12 °C (24 %), while the 10 °C outcome at 15 % reflects residual model spread on exact timing of the clearance and wind strength. Historical September maxima average near 14 °C, so the current setup represents a notable cool anomaly driven by the frontal passage. Updated NWP runs and any late adjustments to the front's arrival will be the key near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$11,626Дата окончания
23 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Southerly winds shifting behind a cold front are the main driver keeping Wellington's September 23 maximum near 10–11 °C.** Recent model runs and official guidance from MetService and international forecasts show a transition from northerly flow to cooler southerlies on the 22nd–23rd, with daytime highs forecast between 9–11 °C and a chance of showers that should clear by afternoon. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 11 °C (58 %) and 12 °C (24 %), while the 10 °C outcome at 15 % reflects residual model spread on exact timing of the clearance and wind strength. Historical September maxima average near 14 °C, so the current setup represents a notable cool anomaly driven by the frontal passage. Updated NWP runs and any late adjustments to the front's arrival will be the key near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$11,626Дата окончания
23 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Southerly winds shifting behind a cold front are the main driver keeping Wellington's September 23 maximum near 10–11 °C.** Recent model runs and official guidance from MetService and international forecasts show a transition from northerly flow to cooler southerlies on the 22nd–23rd, with daytime highs forecast between 9–11 °C and a chance of showers that should clear by afternoon. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 11 °C (58 %) and 12 °C (24 %), while the 10 °C outcome at 15 % reflects residual model spread on exact timing of the clearance and wind strength. Historical September maxima average near 14 °C, so the current setup represents a notable cool anomaly driven by the frontal passage. Updated NWP runs and any late adjustments to the front's arrival will be the key near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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