Official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models point to a high of 18–19°C in Toronto on September 23 under a mix of sun and cloud with easterly winds near 15–20 km/h. This consensus, backed by recent model runs showing stable high pressure and limited moisture, has anchored trader sentiment, with 18°C holding the highest implied probability. Slightly below the 1991–2020 average high of 20.2°C for the date, the outlook reflects cooler northeasterly flow that has persisted into late September. Minor model spreads around cloud cover and wind strength introduce limited upside risk for 20°C or higher, while downside scenarios remain constrained by the short forecast horizon. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Торонто 23 сентября?
18°C 48%
19°C 28%
17°C 13%
16°C 8%
12°C или ниже
3%
13°C
<1%
14°C
3%
15°C
4%
16°C
8%
17°C
13%
18°C
48%
19°C
28%
20°C
7%
21°C
5%
22°C или выше
4%
18°C 48%
19°C 28%
17°C 13%
16°C 8%
12°C или ниже
3%
13°C
<1%
14°C
3%
15°C
4%
16°C
8%
17°C
13%
18°C
48%
19°C
28%
20°C
7%
21°C
5%
22°C или выше
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 21, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models point to a high of 18–19°C in Toronto on September 23 under a mix of sun and cloud with easterly winds near 15–20 km/h. This consensus, backed by recent model runs showing stable high pressure and limited moisture, has anchored trader sentiment, with 18°C holding the highest implied probability. Slightly below the 1991–2020 average high of 20.2°C for the date, the outlook reflects cooler northeasterly flow that has persisted into late September. Minor model spreads around cloud cover and wind strength introduce limited upside risk for 20°C or higher, while downside scenarios remain constrained by the short forecast horizon. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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