Current forecast models from sources including GFS and regional guidance indicate a high of 22–24°C in Paris on September 21 under stable high pressure, light northeast winds, and mostly clear skies that allow modest daytime heating but limit extremes. The 23°C and 22°C outcomes lead because ensemble guidance clusters near the seasonal average of 20.7°C while showing only modest spread from minor differences in boundary-layer mixing and wind timing. Clear conditions and a dew point near 10–12°C support efficient radiational warming without strong advection, yet the northeasterly flow prevents readings from reaching the upper 20s seen in historical analogs. Traders are weighting the narrow model consensus and limited upside from any last-minute adjustments in the 48-hour window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Париже 21 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Париже 21 сентября?
23°C 47%
22°C 37%
24°C 14%
21°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 сент. 2026 г.
18°C или ниже
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
37%
23°C
47%
24°C
14%
25°C
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C или выше
1%
23°C 47%
22°C 37%
24°C 14%
21°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 сент. 2026 г.
18°C или ниже
$122 Объем
<1%
19°C
$0 Объем
1%
20°C
$0 Объем
1%
21°C
$0 Объем
5%
22°C
$390 Объем
37%
23°C
$162 Объем
47%
24°C
$313 Объем
14%
25°C
$0 Объем
4%
26°C
$0 Объем
4%
27°C
$0 Объем
1%
28°C или выше
$10 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including GFS and regional guidance indicate a high of 22–24°C in Paris on September 21 under stable high pressure, light northeast winds, and mostly clear skies that allow modest daytime heating but limit extremes. The 23°C and 22°C outcomes lead because ensemble guidance clusters near the seasonal average of 20.7°C while showing only modest spread from minor differences in boundary-layer mixing and wind timing. Clear conditions and a dew point near 10–12°C support efficient radiational warming without strong advection, yet the northeasterly flow prevents readings from reaching the upper 20s seen in historical analogs. Traders are weighting the narrow model consensus and limited upside from any last-minute adjustments in the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$997Дата окончания
21 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including GFS and regional guidance indicate a high of 22–24°C in Paris on September 21 under stable high pressure, light northeast winds, and mostly clear skies that allow modest daytime heating but limit extremes. The 23°C and 22°C outcomes lead because ensemble guidance clusters near the seasonal average of 20.7°C while showing only modest spread from minor differences in boundary-layer mixing and wind timing. Clear conditions and a dew point near 10–12°C support efficient radiational warming without strong advection, yet the northeasterly flow prevents readings from reaching the upper 20s seen in historical analogs. Traders are weighting the narrow model consensus and limited upside from any last-minute adjustments in the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$997Дата окончания
21 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including GFS and regional guidance indicate a high of 22–24°C in Paris on September 21 under stable high pressure, light northeast winds, and mostly clear skies that allow modest daytime heating but limit extremes. The 23°C and 22°C outcomes lead because ensemble guidance clusters near the seasonal average of 20.7°C while showing only modest spread from minor differences in boundary-layer mixing and wind timing. Clear conditions and a dew point near 10–12°C support efficient radiational warming without strong advection, yet the northeasterly flow prevents readings from reaching the upper 20s seen in historical analogs. Traders are weighting the narrow model consensus and limited upside from any last-minute adjustments in the 48-hour window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы