Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a daily maximum of 31°C on September 18 under clear skies and light winds, aligning with late-summer subtropical conditions where daytime heating peaks near 30–32°C absent significant cloud cover or monsoon influences. This verified observation from the primary urban station drives the near-certain market-implied probability for 31°C, as traders incorporate real-time agency data rather than models. Minor variations in microsite readings or post-processing adjustments remain the only realistic paths to a different resolution threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гонконге 18 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Гонконге 18 сентября?
31°C 99.8%
32°C <1%
25°C или ниже <1%
26°C <1%
$155,695 Объем
$155,695 Объем
18 сент. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C или выше
<1%
31°C 99.8%
32°C <1%
25°C или ниже <1%
26°C <1%
$155,695 Объем
$155,695 Объем
18 сент. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
$4,101 Объем
<1%
26°C
$1,687 Объем
<1%
27°C
$1,711 Объем
<1%
28°C
$2,524 Объем
<1%
29°C
$10,993 Объем
<1%
30°C
$20,932 Объем
<1%
31°C
$58,988 Объем
100%
32°C
$35,422 Объем
1%
33°C
$14,255 Объем
<1%
34°C
$3,576 Объем
<1%
35°C или выше
$1,506 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a daily maximum of 31°C on September 18 under clear skies and light winds, aligning with late-summer subtropical conditions where daytime heating peaks near 30–32°C absent significant cloud cover or monsoon influences. This verified observation from the primary urban station drives the near-certain market-implied probability for 31°C, as traders incorporate real-time agency data rather than models. Minor variations in microsite readings or post-processing adjustments remain the only realistic paths to a different resolution threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$155,695Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a daily maximum of 31°C on September 18 under clear skies and light winds, aligning with late-summer subtropical conditions where daytime heating peaks near 30–32°C absent significant cloud cover or monsoon influences. This verified observation from the primary urban station drives the near-certain market-implied probability for 31°C, as traders incorporate real-time agency data rather than models. Minor variations in microsite readings or post-processing adjustments remain the only realistic paths to a different resolution threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$155,695Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a daily maximum of 31°C on September 18 under clear skies and light winds, aligning with late-summer subtropical conditions where daytime heating peaks near 30–32°C absent significant cloud cover or monsoon influences. This verified observation from the primary urban station drives the near-certain market-implied probability for 31°C, as traders incorporate real-time agency data rather than models. Minor variations in microsite readings or post-processing adjustments remain the only realistic paths to a different resolution threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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