Recent official forecasts from sources including PAGASA and global models indicate Manila's September 20 high will likely reach 31–33°C amid southwest monsoon conditions, scattered thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover that cap solar heating. These factors explain the market's strong implied probabilities on 32°C (43.5%) and 33°C (32.5%), with 31°C and 34°C as plausible outliers depending on timing of convection and wind patterns. El Niño influences add slight warmth relative to long-term September averages near 32°C, yet persistent humidity and rainfall keep extremes unlikely; traders appear to weigh the latest model runs showing modest variability in peak readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Маниле 20 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Маниле 20 сентября?
32°C 37%
33°C 32%
31°C 14%
34°C 13%
НОВОЕ
$18,265 Объем
НОВОЕ
$18,265 Объем
20 сент. 2026 г.
28°C или ниже
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
14%
32°C
44%
33°C
32%
34°C
13%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C или выше
<1%
32°C 37%
33°C 32%
31°C 14%
34°C 13%
НОВОЕ
$18,265 Объем
НОВОЕ
$18,265 Объем
20 сент. 2026 г.
28°C или ниже
$425 Объем
<1%
29°C
$555 Объем
1%
30°C
$995 Объем
3%
31°C
$3,960 Объем
14%
32°C
$5,132 Объем
44%
33°C
$3,616 Объем
32%
34°C
$2,282 Объем
13%
35°C
$894 Объем
<1%
36°C
$109 Объем
<1%
37°C
$117 Объем
<1%
38°C или выше
$181 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including PAGASA and global models indicate Manila's September 20 high will likely reach 31–33°C amid southwest monsoon conditions, scattered thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover that cap solar heating. These factors explain the market's strong implied probabilities on 32°C (43.5%) and 33°C (32.5%), with 31°C and 34°C as plausible outliers depending on timing of convection and wind patterns. El Niño influences add slight warmth relative to long-term September averages near 32°C, yet persistent humidity and rainfall keep extremes unlikely; traders appear to weigh the latest model runs showing modest variability in peak readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Объем
$18,265Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including PAGASA and global models indicate Manila's September 20 high will likely reach 31–33°C amid southwest monsoon conditions, scattered thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover that cap solar heating. These factors explain the market's strong implied probabilities on 32°C (43.5%) and 33°C (32.5%), with 31°C and 34°C as plausible outliers depending on timing of convection and wind patterns. El Niño influences add slight warmth relative to long-term September averages near 32°C, yet persistent humidity and rainfall keep extremes unlikely; traders appear to weigh the latest model runs showing modest variability in peak readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$18,265Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including PAGASA and global models indicate Manila's September 20 high will likely reach 31–33°C amid southwest monsoon conditions, scattered thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover that cap solar heating. These factors explain the market's strong implied probabilities on 32°C (43.5%) and 33°C (32.5%), with 31°C and 34°C as plausible outliers depending on timing of convection and wind patterns. El Niño influences add slight warmth relative to long-term September averages near 32°C, yet persistent humidity and rainfall keep extremes unlikely; traders appear to weigh the latest model runs showing modest variability in peak readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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