Recent official forecasts from sources including GFS and other models indicate Munich's highest temperature on September 19 will most likely reach 21–23°C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure with minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with trader emphasis on 22°C (43.5% implied probability) as the mode, followed by 23°C (28.0%), reflecting tight model consensus around values slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of 19.2°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, supporting the lower odds on 24°C or warmer outcomes, while cooler scenarios remain possible only with unexpected cooling. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine the precise maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мюнхене 19 сентября?
22°C 43%
23°C 30%
24°C 29%
21°C 13%
19°C или ниже
4%
20°C
6%
21°C
13%
22°C
43%
23°C
30%
24°C
29%
25°C
10%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C или выше
<1%
22°C 43%
23°C 30%
24°C 29%
21°C 13%
19°C или ниже
4%
20°C
6%
21°C
13%
22°C
43%
23°C
30%
24°C
29%
25°C
10%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including GFS and other models indicate Munich's highest temperature on September 19 will most likely reach 21–23°C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure with minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with trader emphasis on 22°C (43.5% implied probability) as the mode, followed by 23°C (28.0%), reflecting tight model consensus around values slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of 19.2°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, supporting the lower odds on 24°C or warmer outcomes, while cooler scenarios remain possible only with unexpected cooling. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine the precise maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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