Recent official forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and international models indicate daytime highs in Tel Aviv on September 21 will likely reach 29–30°C under mostly clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and stable high pressure typical of late Mediterranean summer. This consensus, with limited model spread and no significant moisture or cloud cover expected to suppress heating, positions 30–31°C as the leading market-implied outcomes at combined 93.5% probability. Historical averages near 29°C provide context, while the absence of recent atmospheric shifts or updated runs altering the outlook reinforces trader alignment on these thresholds ahead of final observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 21 сентября?
31°C 59%
30°C 37%
32°C 6%
29°C 2%
27°C или ниже
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
37%
31°C
59%
32°C
6%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C или выше
<1%
31°C 59%
30°C 37%
32°C 6%
29°C 2%
27°C или ниже
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
37%
31°C
59%
32°C
6%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and international models indicate daytime highs in Tel Aviv on September 21 will likely reach 29–30°C under mostly clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and stable high pressure typical of late Mediterranean summer. This consensus, with limited model spread and no significant moisture or cloud cover expected to suppress heating, positions 30–31°C as the leading market-implied outcomes at combined 93.5% probability. Historical averages near 29°C provide context, while the absence of recent atmospheric shifts or updated runs altering the outlook reinforces trader alignment on these thresholds ahead of final observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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