Recent forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a stable high-pressure regime over the eastern Mediterranean with light northwest winds and minimal cloud cover on September 20, supporting a daytime maximum in Tel Aviv of 29–31°C. Coastal sea-breeze effects and the typical late-September climatology—averaging near 29°C—reinforce this narrow range, while the absence of upper-level troughs or Saharan intrusions limits upside potential. Trader consensus reflected in the 61% implied probability for 31°C and 31.5% for 30°C aligns closely with the latest model guidance and recent station observations showing consistent highs near 30°C amid dry conditions. Updated model runs through the evening of September 19 will provide the final refinement before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 20 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 20 сентября?
31°C 61%
30°C 35%
32°C 4%
29°C 1.0%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 сент. 2026 г.
27°C или ниже
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
35%
31°C
61%
32°C
4%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C или выше
<1%
31°C 61%
30°C 35%
32°C 4%
29°C 1.0%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 сент. 2026 г.
27°C или ниже
$41 Объем
<1%
28°C
$589 Объем
<1%
29°C
$146 Объем
1%
30°C
$775 Объем
35%
31°C
$820 Объем
61%
32°C
$657 Объем
4%
33°C
$241 Объем
<1%
34°C
$576 Объем
<1%
35°C
$551 Объем
<1%
36°C
$402 Объем
<1%
37°C или выше
$202 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a stable high-pressure regime over the eastern Mediterranean with light northwest winds and minimal cloud cover on September 20, supporting a daytime maximum in Tel Aviv of 29–31°C. Coastal sea-breeze effects and the typical late-September climatology—averaging near 29°C—reinforce this narrow range, while the absence of upper-level troughs or Saharan intrusions limits upside potential. Trader consensus reflected in the 61% implied probability for 31°C and 31.5% for 30°C aligns closely with the latest model guidance and recent station observations showing consistent highs near 30°C amid dry conditions. Updated model runs through the evening of September 19 will provide the final refinement before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$5,000Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a stable high-pressure regime over the eastern Mediterranean with light northwest winds and minimal cloud cover on September 20, supporting a daytime maximum in Tel Aviv of 29–31°C. Coastal sea-breeze effects and the typical late-September climatology—averaging near 29°C—reinforce this narrow range, while the absence of upper-level troughs or Saharan intrusions limits upside potential. Trader consensus reflected in the 61% implied probability for 31°C and 31.5% for 30°C aligns closely with the latest model guidance and recent station observations showing consistent highs near 30°C amid dry conditions. Updated model runs through the evening of September 19 will provide the final refinement before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$5,000Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a stable high-pressure regime over the eastern Mediterranean with light northwest winds and minimal cloud cover on September 20, supporting a daytime maximum in Tel Aviv of 29–31°C. Coastal sea-breeze effects and the typical late-September climatology—averaging near 29°C—reinforce this narrow range, while the absence of upper-level troughs or Saharan intrusions limits upside potential. Trader consensus reflected in the 61% implied probability for 31°C and 31.5% for 30°C aligns closely with the latest model guidance and recent station observations showing consistent highs near 30°C amid dry conditions. Updated model runs through the evening of September 19 will provide the final refinement before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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