National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on September 18 project a high near 100°F under sunny skies and light southerly flow, following several days of readings in the upper 90s to low 100s that have pushed temperatures well above the late-September climatological average of about 89°F. Model consensus supports minimal cloud cover and no meaningful precipitation, limiting cooling from evaporation or mixing while southerly winds maintain warm advection. Trader positioning, with 96-97°F at 53% implied probability and 98-99°F at 32.5%, aligns closely with this guidance, though slight downward revisions in some runs keep a modest chance for 100°F+ outcomes. Updated NWS products tomorrow morning will provide the final observational benchmark for market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Далласе 18 сентября?
96-97°F 53%
98-99°F 33%
100-101°F 11%
92-93°F 2%
$13,211 Объем
$13,211 Объем
89°F или ниже
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
53%
98-99°F
33%
100-101°F
11%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F или выше
<1%
96-97°F 53%
98-99°F 33%
100-101°F 11%
92-93°F 2%
$13,211 Объем
$13,211 Объем
89°F или ниже
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
53%
98-99°F
33%
100-101°F
11%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 16, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on September 18 project a high near 100°F under sunny skies and light southerly flow, following several days of readings in the upper 90s to low 100s that have pushed temperatures well above the late-September climatological average of about 89°F. Model consensus supports minimal cloud cover and no meaningful precipitation, limiting cooling from evaporation or mixing while southerly winds maintain warm advection. Trader positioning, with 96-97°F at 53% implied probability and 98-99°F at 32.5%, aligns closely with this guidance, though slight downward revisions in some runs keep a modest chance for 100°F+ outcomes. Updated NWS products tomorrow morning will provide the final observational benchmark for market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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