**Forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate a daily minimum temperature in the upper 70s for Dallas on September 18, 2026, amid a persistent warm, dry air mass with southerly flow and mostly clear skies.** This supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 78–81°F. Overnight radiative cooling under clear conditions will be limited by the warm baseline and dew points near 65–70°F, while light winds reduce mixing. Historical September averages near 69°F highlight the current anomaly driven by the ongoing heat pattern, with no significant frontal passage expected to alter the trajectory before resolution. Minor model differences in cloud cover or wind timing create the narrow spread between the top bins, underscoring typical forecast uncertainty in minimum temperature verification.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Далласе 18 сентября?
84-85°F 39%
80-81°F 27%
78–79°F 25%
82-83°F 21%
71°F или ниже
5%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
8%
78–79°F
25%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
21%
84-85°F
39%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
7%
90°F или выше
4%
84-85°F 39%
80-81°F 27%
78–79°F 25%
82-83°F 21%
71°F или ниже
5%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
8%
78–79°F
25%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
21%
84-85°F
39%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
7%
90°F или выше
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 16, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate a daily minimum temperature in the upper 70s for Dallas on September 18, 2026, amid a persistent warm, dry air mass with southerly flow and mostly clear skies.** This supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 78–81°F. Overnight radiative cooling under clear conditions will be limited by the warm baseline and dew points near 65–70°F, while light winds reduce mixing. Historical September averages near 69°F highlight the current anomaly driven by the ongoing heat pattern, with no significant frontal passage expected to alter the trajectory before resolution. Minor model differences in cloud cover or wind timing create the narrow spread between the top bins, underscoring typical forecast uncertainty in minimum temperature verification.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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