Recent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate Moscow's September 21 high will likely fall in the 19–21°C range amid southerly flow, moderate pressure around 1010–1015 hPa, and increasing cloud cover with a chance of showers that cap daytime warming. Diurnal ranges remain narrow due to overnight lows near 13–16°C and limited insolation, consistent with late-September climatology where Moscow averages about 17°C. Close market-implied odds across 19–21°C reflect genuine model spread on exact peak timing and precipitation intensity rather than any single dominant signal, with traders weighting updated runs expected before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Москве 21 сентября?
20°C 39%
21°C 29%
19°C 20%
18°C 8%
13°C или ниже
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
6%
17°C
3%
18°C
8%
19°C
20%
20°C
39%
21°C
29%
22°C
7%
23°C или выше
4%
20°C 39%
21°C 29%
19°C 20%
18°C 8%
13°C или ниже
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
6%
17°C
3%
18°C
8%
19°C
20%
20°C
39%
21°C
29%
22°C
7%
23°C или выше
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate Moscow's September 21 high will likely fall in the 19–21°C range amid southerly flow, moderate pressure around 1010–1015 hPa, and increasing cloud cover with a chance of showers that cap daytime warming. Diurnal ranges remain narrow due to overnight lows near 13–16°C and limited insolation, consistent with late-September climatology where Moscow averages about 17°C. Close market-implied odds across 19–21°C reflect genuine model spread on exact peak timing and precipitation intensity rather than any single dominant signal, with traders weighting updated runs expected before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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