Current forecast models from sources including GFS data show a maximum temperature of 18–19°C for Amsterdam on September 21, driven by a building ridge of high pressure following the eastward passage of a low-pressure system. This setup promotes west to northwest winds of 3–5 m/s, increasing cloud cover that limits daytime solar heating while preventing significant nocturnal cooling. Ensemble consensus places the daily high near the September climatological average, with minimal model spread supporting the market’s leading 19°C outcome at 52% implied probability. Minor upward revisions to 20°C remain possible if afternoon clearing occurs earlier than projected, while cooler outcomes below 18°C would require stronger onshore flow or persistent low cloud not currently favored in the latest runs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Амстердаме 21 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Амстердаме 21 сентября?
19°C 52%
18°C 22%
20°C 22%
21°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 сент. 2026 г.
13°C или ниже
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
22%
19°C
52%
20°C
22%
21°C
5%
22°C
2%
23°C или выше
2%
19°C 52%
18°C 22%
20°C 22%
21°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 сент. 2026 г.
13°C или ниже
$267 Объем
<1%
14°C
$26 Объем
1%
15°C
$0 Объем
2%
16°C
$47 Объем
2%
17°C
$23 Объем
5%
18°C
$287 Объем
22%
19°C
$455 Объем
52%
20°C
$103 Объем
22%
21°C
$56 Объем
5%
22°C
$0 Объем
2%
23°C или выше
$0 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including GFS data show a maximum temperature of 18–19°C for Amsterdam on September 21, driven by a building ridge of high pressure following the eastward passage of a low-pressure system. This setup promotes west to northwest winds of 3–5 m/s, increasing cloud cover that limits daytime solar heating while preventing significant nocturnal cooling. Ensemble consensus places the daily high near the September climatological average, with minimal model spread supporting the market’s leading 19°C outcome at 52% implied probability. Minor upward revisions to 20°C remain possible if afternoon clearing occurs earlier than projected, while cooler outcomes below 18°C would require stronger onshore flow or persistent low cloud not currently favored in the latest runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$1,265Дата окончания
21 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including GFS data show a maximum temperature of 18–19°C for Amsterdam on September 21, driven by a building ridge of high pressure following the eastward passage of a low-pressure system. This setup promotes west to northwest winds of 3–5 m/s, increasing cloud cover that limits daytime solar heating while preventing significant nocturnal cooling. Ensemble consensus places the daily high near the September climatological average, with minimal model spread supporting the market’s leading 19°C outcome at 52% implied probability. Minor upward revisions to 20°C remain possible if afternoon clearing occurs earlier than projected, while cooler outcomes below 18°C would require stronger onshore flow or persistent low cloud not currently favored in the latest runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,265Дата окончания
21 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including GFS data show a maximum temperature of 18–19°C for Amsterdam on September 21, driven by a building ridge of high pressure following the eastward passage of a low-pressure system. This setup promotes west to northwest winds of 3–5 m/s, increasing cloud cover that limits daytime solar heating while preventing significant nocturnal cooling. Ensemble consensus places the daily high near the September climatological average, with minimal model spread supporting the market’s leading 19°C outcome at 52% implied probability. Minor upward revisions to 20°C remain possible if afternoon clearing occurs earlier than projected, while cooler outcomes below 18°C would require stronger onshore flow or persistent low cloud not currently favored in the latest runs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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