Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate overnight lows in Dallas on September 23 around 74–76°F under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, limiting radiational cooling. This stems from a persistent warm, moist air mass with dew points near 65–70°F and minimal frontal influence, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 67.6°F. While short-range models show low spread, minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could alter the minimum by 2–4°F. Market-implied odds reflect trader uncertainty around these thresholds, with the wisdom of crowds assigning roughly even weight to the cooler tail versus an unusually warm night. Updated NWS guidance and 00Z/12Z model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key resolution signals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Далласе 23 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Далласе 23 сентября?
67°F или ниже 100%
86°F или выше 98%
76-77°F 40%
78-79°F 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 сент. 2026 г.
67°F или ниже
100%
68-69°F
38%
70-71°F
38%
72-73°F
38%
74-75°F
38%
76-77°F
40%
78-79°F
40%
80-81°F
38%
82-83°F
38%
84-85°F
38%
86°F или выше
98%
67°F или ниже 100%
86°F или выше 98%
76-77°F 40%
78-79°F 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 сент. 2026 г.
67°F или ниже
$0 Объем
100%
68-69°F
$0 Объем
38%
70-71°F
$0 Объем
38%
72-73°F
$0 Объем
38%
74-75°F
$0 Объем
38%
76-77°F
$0 Объем
40%
78-79°F
$0 Объем
40%
80-81°F
$0 Объем
38%
82-83°F
$0 Объем
38%
84-85°F
$0 Объем
38%
86°F или выше
$0 Объем
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate overnight lows in Dallas on September 23 around 74–76°F under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, limiting radiational cooling. This stems from a persistent warm, moist air mass with dew points near 65–70°F and minimal frontal influence, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 67.6°F. While short-range models show low spread, minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could alter the minimum by 2–4°F. Market-implied odds reflect trader uncertainty around these thresholds, with the wisdom of crowds assigning roughly even weight to the cooler tail versus an unusually warm night. Updated NWS guidance and 00Z/12Z model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 21, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
23 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 21, 2026, 3:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate overnight lows in Dallas on September 23 around 74–76°F under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, limiting radiational cooling. This stems from a persistent warm, moist air mass with dew points near 65–70°F and minimal frontal influence, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 67.6°F. While short-range models show low spread, minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could alter the minimum by 2–4°F. Market-implied odds reflect trader uncertainty around these thresholds, with the wisdom of crowds assigning roughly even weight to the cooler tail versus an unusually warm night. Updated NWS guidance and 00Z/12Z model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
23 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 21, 2026, 3:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate overnight lows in Dallas on September 23 around 74–76°F under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, limiting radiational cooling. This stems from a persistent warm, moist air mass with dew points near 65–70°F and minimal frontal influence, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 67.6°F. While short-range models show low spread, minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could alter the minimum by 2–4°F. Market-implied odds reflect trader uncertainty around these thresholds, with the wisdom of crowds assigning roughly even weight to the cooler tail versus an unusually warm night. Updated NWS guidance and 00Z/12Z model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key resolution signals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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