**Current forecasts for Chongqing on September 19, 2026, point to a minimum temperature near 22°C under persistent light rain and cloudy skies.** Multiple meteorological sources, including regional models and international services, consistently show overnight lows of 21–23°C, with highs reaching only 27–29°C amid high humidity (80–95%) and light variable winds. This aligns with typical early-autumn conditions in the Sichuan Basin, where frequent cloud cover and precipitation moderate temperatures, preventing the sharper nocturnal drops seen in clearer weather. The market’s leading 21°C outcome (52.5% implied probability) reflects trader consensus around these model runs, while the modest probabilities for 17°C or below (24%) or 27°C or higher (23.5%) capture tail risks from forecast revisions or localized variations. Key upcoming inputs include updated National Meteorological Center or international model guidance on overnight radiative cooling and any shifts in steering patterns that could alter cloud cover. Historical September lows average near 22°C, providing additional context for the clustered probabilities around 20–22°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Чунцине 19 сентября?
21°C 53%
17°C или ниже 48%
27°C или выше 47%
22°C 40%
17°C или ниже
48%
18°C
36%
19°C
37%
20°C
22%
21°C
53%
22°C
23%
23°C
39%
24°C
36%
25°C
37%
26°C
37%
27°C или выше
47%
21°C 53%
17°C или ниже 48%
27°C или выше 47%
22°C 40%
17°C или ниже
48%
18°C
36%
19°C
37%
20°C
22%
21°C
53%
22°C
23%
23°C
39%
24°C
36%
25°C
37%
26°C
37%
27°C или выше
47%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts for Chongqing on September 19, 2026, point to a minimum temperature near 22°C under persistent light rain and cloudy skies.** Multiple meteorological sources, including regional models and international services, consistently show overnight lows of 21–23°C, with highs reaching only 27–29°C amid high humidity (80–95%) and light variable winds. This aligns with typical early-autumn conditions in the Sichuan Basin, where frequent cloud cover and precipitation moderate temperatures, preventing the sharper nocturnal drops seen in clearer weather. The market’s leading 21°C outcome (52.5% implied probability) reflects trader consensus around these model runs, while the modest probabilities for 17°C or below (24%) or 27°C or higher (23.5%) capture tail risks from forecast revisions or localized variations. Key upcoming inputs include updated National Meteorological Center or international model guidance on overnight radiative cooling and any shifts in steering patterns that could alter cloud cover. Historical September lows average near 22°C, providing additional context for the clustered probabilities around 20–22°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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