Latest Met Office guidance and supporting model runs project a daytime maximum of 20–21 °C across London on 18 September under a mix of sunny intervals and increasing afternoon cloud, with light to moderate southwesterly flow. This consensus, reinforced by recent ensemble outputs showing limited diurnal warming potential, underpins the market’s strong tilt toward 20 °C. A high-pressure ridge building from the south is expected to suppress widespread rain but may allow enough low-level moisture and variable cloud to cap temperatures below the 22 °C threshold. Forecasters will issue updated guidance overnight and early on the 18th, with any shift in cloud timing or wind strength capable of nudging the recorded high between the tightly priced 19 °C and 21 °C outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лондоне 18 сентября?
20°C 57%
21°C 28%
19°C 15%
18°C 2%
$12,964 Объем
$12,964 Объем
15°C или ниже
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
15%
20°C
57%
21°C
28%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C или выше
<1%
20°C 57%
21°C 28%
19°C 15%
18°C 2%
$12,964 Объем
$12,964 Объем
15°C или ниже
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
15%
20°C
57%
21°C
28%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Latest Met Office guidance and supporting model runs project a daytime maximum of 20–21 °C across London on 18 September under a mix of sunny intervals and increasing afternoon cloud, with light to moderate southwesterly flow. This consensus, reinforced by recent ensemble outputs showing limited diurnal warming potential, underpins the market’s strong tilt toward 20 °C. A high-pressure ridge building from the south is expected to suppress widespread rain but may allow enough low-level moisture and variable cloud to cap temperatures below the 22 °C threshold. Forecasters will issue updated guidance overnight and early on the 18th, with any shift in cloud timing or wind strength capable of nudging the recorded high between the tightly priced 19 °C and 21 °C outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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