**Forecast models and National Weather Service guidance point to a moderated high in the mid-70s for Los Angeles on September 16, aligning with the market's strong consensus around 76-77°F.** Onshore southwest flow and a persistent marine layer have suppressed temperatures compared to recent days, with patchy morning drizzle and low clouds limiting daytime heating at coastal and basin sites. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, keeping most runs clustered near 75-77°F, while historical September averages near 81°F underscore the cooling effect of current synoptic conditions. Traders appear to weigh the latest NWS forecast of a 76°F high and afternoon clearing as the dominant signal, with only modest probability assigned to warmer inland readings or cooler marine influence. Updated observations and any late-day clearing trends will provide the final resolution data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лос-Анджелесе 16 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Лос-Анджелесе 16 сентября?
76-77°F 55%
74-75°F 28%
78-79°F 11%
80-81°F 3%
НОВОЕ
$16,251 Объем
НОВОЕ
$16,251 Объем
16 сент. 2026 г.
65°F или ниже
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
28%
76-77°F
55%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
1%
84°F или выше
<1%
76-77°F 55%
74-75°F 28%
78-79°F 11%
80-81°F 3%
НОВОЕ
$16,251 Объем
НОВОЕ
$16,251 Объем
16 сент. 2026 г.
65°F или ниже
$353 Объем
<1%
66-67°F
$253 Объем
<1%
68-69°F
$381 Объем
<1%
70-71°F
$548 Объем
<1%
72-73°F
$537 Объем
2%
74-75°F
$4,692 Объем
28%
76-77°F
$2,442 Объем
55%
78-79°F
$5,328 Объем
11%
80-81°F
$1,250 Объем
3%
82-83°F
$239 Объем
1%
84°F или выше
$227 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and National Weather Service guidance point to a moderated high in the mid-70s for Los Angeles on September 16, aligning with the market's strong consensus around 76-77°F.** Onshore southwest flow and a persistent marine layer have suppressed temperatures compared to recent days, with patchy morning drizzle and low clouds limiting daytime heating at coastal and basin sites. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, keeping most runs clustered near 75-77°F, while historical September averages near 81°F underscore the cooling effect of current synoptic conditions. Traders appear to weigh the latest NWS forecast of a 76°F high and afternoon clearing as the dominant signal, with only modest probability assigned to warmer inland readings or cooler marine influence. Updated observations and any late-day clearing trends will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 14, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Объем
$16,251Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 7:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and National Weather Service guidance point to a moderated high in the mid-70s for Los Angeles on September 16, aligning with the market's strong consensus around 76-77°F.** Onshore southwest flow and a persistent marine layer have suppressed temperatures compared to recent days, with patchy morning drizzle and low clouds limiting daytime heating at coastal and basin sites. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, keeping most runs clustered near 75-77°F, while historical September averages near 81°F underscore the cooling effect of current synoptic conditions. Traders appear to weigh the latest NWS forecast of a 76°F high and afternoon clearing as the dominant signal, with only modest probability assigned to warmer inland readings or cooler marine influence. Updated observations and any late-day clearing trends will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$16,251Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 7:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and National Weather Service guidance point to a moderated high in the mid-70s for Los Angeles on September 16, aligning with the market's strong consensus around 76-77°F.** Onshore southwest flow and a persistent marine layer have suppressed temperatures compared to recent days, with patchy morning drizzle and low clouds limiting daytime heating at coastal and basin sites. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, keeping most runs clustered near 75-77°F, while historical September averages near 81°F underscore the cooling effect of current synoptic conditions. Traders appear to weigh the latest NWS forecast of a 76°F high and afternoon clearing as the dominant signal, with only modest probability assigned to warmer inland readings or cooler marine influence. Updated observations and any late-day clearing trends will provide the final resolution data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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