Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Miami indicates a subtropical ridge supporting afternoon highs near 86–88°F on September 15, with easterly flow, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity moderating peak temperatures through daytime convection. Sea-surface temperatures near 30°C sustain elevated heat indices above 95°F, yet increased cloud cover and moisture from the Atlantic limit radiative heating. Traders appear to weight historical September variability and potential model underestimation of clearing skies, placing the highest implied probability on the 90–91°F bin while assigning meaningful odds to 88–89°F and 92–93°F ranges. Updated short-range forecasts and afternoon observations will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Майами 15 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Майами 15 сентября?
90-91°F 49%
88-89°F 25%
92-93°F 19%
86-87°F 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 сент. 2026 г.
79°F или ниже
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
25%
90-91°F
49%
92-93°F
19%
94–95°F
4%
96-97°F
1%
98°F или выше
1%
90-91°F 49%
88-89°F 25%
92-93°F 19%
86-87°F 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 сент. 2026 г.
79°F или ниже
$10 Объем
<1%
80-81°F
$10 Объем
<1%
82-83°F
$10 Объем
3%
84-85°F
$10 Объем
4%
86-87°F
$684 Объем
8%
88-89°F
$231 Объем
25%
90-91°F
$201 Объем
49%
92-93°F
$34 Объем
19%
94–95°F
$17 Объем
4%
96-97°F
$10 Объем
1%
98°F или выше
$0 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Miami indicates a subtropical ridge supporting afternoon highs near 86–88°F on September 15, with easterly flow, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity moderating peak temperatures through daytime convection. Sea-surface temperatures near 30°C sustain elevated heat indices above 95°F, yet increased cloud cover and moisture from the Atlantic limit radiative heating. Traders appear to weight historical September variability and potential model underestimation of clearing skies, placing the highest implied probability on the 90–91°F bin while assigning meaningful odds to 88–89°F and 92–93°F ranges. Updated short-range forecasts and afternoon observations will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Объем
$1,216Дата окончания
15 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Miami indicates a subtropical ridge supporting afternoon highs near 86–88°F on September 15, with easterly flow, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity moderating peak temperatures through daytime convection. Sea-surface temperatures near 30°C sustain elevated heat indices above 95°F, yet increased cloud cover and moisture from the Atlantic limit radiative heating. Traders appear to weight historical September variability and potential model underestimation of clearing skies, placing the highest implied probability on the 90–91°F bin while assigning meaningful odds to 88–89°F and 92–93°F ranges. Updated short-range forecasts and afternoon observations will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,216Дата окончания
15 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Miami indicates a subtropical ridge supporting afternoon highs near 86–88°F on September 15, with easterly flow, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity moderating peak temperatures through daytime convection. Sea-surface temperatures near 30°C sustain elevated heat indices above 95°F, yet increased cloud cover and moisture from the Atlantic limit radiative heating. Traders appear to weight historical September variability and potential model underestimation of clearing skies, placing the highest implied probability on the 90–91°F bin while assigning meaningful odds to 88–89°F and 92–93°F ranges. Updated short-range forecasts and afternoon observations will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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