Recent forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and GFS model runs indicate partly cloudy conditions with light westerly winds for Moscow on September 13, supporting a daytime high near 17–18°C, just above the 16.9°C historical average. This consensus positions 17°C as the market leader at 45.5% implied probability, with 16°C and 18°C capturing the range of minor model variations and timing uncertainties in peak warmth. Stable atmospheric pressure around 749–750 mmHg and low precipitation risk further anchor expectations, while any last-minute steering shifts or localized heating could nudge the exact maximum within the narrow 16–18°C window before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Москве 13 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Москве 13 сентября?
17°C 46%
16°C 24%
18°C 18%
19°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 сент. 2026 г.
13°C или ниже
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
24%
17°C
46%
18°C
18%
19°C
5%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C или выше
<1%
17°C 46%
16°C 24%
18°C 18%
19°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 сент. 2026 г.
13°C или ниже
$223 Объем
1%
14°C
$95 Объем
2%
15°C
$48 Объем
4%
16°C
$139 Объем
24%
17°C
$708 Объем
46%
18°C
$231 Объем
18%
19°C
$197 Объем
5%
20°C
$214 Объем
1%
21°C
$53 Объем
1%
22°C
$147 Объем
<1%
23°C или выше
$147 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and GFS model runs indicate partly cloudy conditions with light westerly winds for Moscow on September 13, supporting a daytime high near 17–18°C, just above the 16.9°C historical average. This consensus positions 17°C as the market leader at 45.5% implied probability, with 16°C and 18°C capturing the range of minor model variations and timing uncertainties in peak warmth. Stable atmospheric pressure around 749–750 mmHg and low precipitation risk further anchor expectations, while any last-minute steering shifts or localized heating could nudge the exact maximum within the narrow 16–18°C window before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$2,201Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and GFS model runs indicate partly cloudy conditions with light westerly winds for Moscow on September 13, supporting a daytime high near 17–18°C, just above the 16.9°C historical average. This consensus positions 17°C as the market leader at 45.5% implied probability, with 16°C and 18°C capturing the range of minor model variations and timing uncertainties in peak warmth. Stable atmospheric pressure around 749–750 mmHg and low precipitation risk further anchor expectations, while any last-minute steering shifts or localized heating could nudge the exact maximum within the narrow 16–18°C window before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,201Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and GFS model runs indicate partly cloudy conditions with light westerly winds for Moscow on September 13, supporting a daytime high near 17–18°C, just above the 16.9°C historical average. This consensus positions 17°C as the market leader at 45.5% implied probability, with 16°C and 18°C capturing the range of minor model variations and timing uncertainties in peak warmth. Stable atmospheric pressure around 749–750 mmHg and low precipitation risk further anchor expectations, while any last-minute steering shifts or localized heating could nudge the exact maximum within the narrow 16–18°C window before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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