Current forecast consensus from multiple models points to a high of 31–33°C in Guangzhou on September 14 amid widespread thunderstorms and thick cloud cover. High humidity, light northerly winds, and convective instability tied to lingering tropical moisture are expected to limit surface heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from rainfall. This aligns with historical mid-September averages near 32°C while introducing day-to-day variability from storm timing and intensity. Model spreads remain modest but could shift with updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or global ensembles, particularly regarding exact peak timing and any breaks in cloud cover that might allow a brief push toward 34°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гуанчжоу 14 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Гуанчжоу 14 сентября?
33°C 31%
32°C 24%
34°C 18%
31°C 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 сент. 2026 г.
26°C или ниже
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
8%
30°C
6%
31°C
16%
32°C
24%
33°C
31%
34°C
18%
35°C
5%
36°C или выше
4%
33°C 31%
32°C 24%
34°C 18%
31°C 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 сент. 2026 г.
26°C или ниже
$0 Объем
1%
27°C
$0 Объем
1%
28°C
$5 Объем
2%
29°C
$0 Объем
8%
30°C
$20 Объем
6%
31°C
$7 Объем
16%
32°C
$94 Объем
24%
33°C
$11 Объем
31%
34°C
$27 Объем
18%
35°C
$1,024 Объем
5%
36°C или выше
$0 Объем
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from multiple models points to a high of 31–33°C in Guangzhou on September 14 amid widespread thunderstorms and thick cloud cover. High humidity, light northerly winds, and convective instability tied to lingering tropical moisture are expected to limit surface heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from rainfall. This aligns with historical mid-September averages near 32°C while introducing day-to-day variability from storm timing and intensity. Model spreads remain modest but could shift with updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or global ensembles, particularly regarding exact peak timing and any breaks in cloud cover that might allow a brief push toward 34°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$1,189Дата окончания
14 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from multiple models points to a high of 31–33°C in Guangzhou on September 14 amid widespread thunderstorms and thick cloud cover. High humidity, light northerly winds, and convective instability tied to lingering tropical moisture are expected to limit surface heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from rainfall. This aligns with historical mid-September averages near 32°C while introducing day-to-day variability from storm timing and intensity. Model spreads remain modest but could shift with updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or global ensembles, particularly regarding exact peak timing and any breaks in cloud cover that might allow a brief push toward 34°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,189Дата окончания
14 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from multiple models points to a high of 31–33°C in Guangzhou on September 14 amid widespread thunderstorms and thick cloud cover. High humidity, light northerly winds, and convective instability tied to lingering tropical moisture are expected to limit surface heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from rainfall. This aligns with historical mid-September averages near 32°C while introducing day-to-day variability from storm timing and intensity. Model spreads remain modest but could shift with updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or global ensembles, particularly regarding exact peak timing and any breaks in cloud cover that might allow a brief push toward 34°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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