**Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles like ECMWF and GFS show a maximum temperature of 28–29°C for Chongqing on September 12, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal precipitation.** This aligns with current surface observations near 28°C midday and historical September averages around 29°C. The 95% market-implied odds on 29°C reflect traders' confidence in this narrow range, as ensemble spreads remain tight and no strong warming mechanisms—such as clear-sky radiative heating or southerly flow—are evident. A shift toward heavier cloud cover or earlier rainfall could hold the peak at or below 28°C, while unexpected clearing might allow 30°C; however, updated model runs through the afternoon will provide the final resolution data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чунцине 12 сентября?
29°C 98%
30°C 3.6%
31°C 1.1%
26°C или ниже <1%
$27,204 Объем
$27,204 Объем
26°C или ниже
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
98%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C или выше
<1%
29°C 98%
30°C 3.6%
31°C 1.1%
26°C или ниже <1%
$27,204 Объем
$27,204 Объем
26°C или ниже
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
98%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles like ECMWF and GFS show a maximum temperature of 28–29°C for Chongqing on September 12, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal precipitation.** This aligns with current surface observations near 28°C midday and historical September averages around 29°C. The 95% market-implied odds on 29°C reflect traders' confidence in this narrow range, as ensemble spreads remain tight and no strong warming mechanisms—such as clear-sky radiative heating or southerly flow—are evident. A shift toward heavier cloud cover or earlier rainfall could hold the peak at or below 28°C, while unexpected clearing might allow 30°C; however, updated model runs through the afternoon will provide the final resolution data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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