Current forecast models from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international ensembles indicate a maximum temperature of 12°C in Buenos Aires today, driven by a stable high-pressure system and cool southerly flow suppressing daytime warming. This strong scientific consensus underpins the 97% market-implied probability for 12°C, consistent with typical early-spring climatology and recent observational trends showing limited diurnal rise. Traders assign negligible odds to higher thresholds given consistent model agreement on boundary-layer conditions. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted warm advection event or localized measurement anomaly exceeding standard station protocols, though current data make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Буэнос-Айресе 12 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Буэнос-Айресе 12 сентября?
12°C 95%
13°C 3%
14°C <1%
16°C <1%
$40,782 Объем
$40,782 Объем
12 сент. 2026 г.
8°C или ниже
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
95%
13°C
3%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C или выше
<1%
12°C 95%
13°C 3%
14°C <1%
16°C <1%
$40,782 Объем
$40,782 Объем
12 сент. 2026 г.
8°C или ниже
$340 Объем
<1%
9°C
$656 Объем
<1%
10°C
$3,466 Объем
<1%
11°C
$8,774 Объем
<1%
12°C
$9,077 Объем
95%
13°C
$9,137 Объем
3%
14°C
$3,214 Объем
1%
15°C
$1,889 Объем
<1%
16°C
$1,058 Объем
<1%
17°C
$1,456 Объем
<1%
18°C или выше
$1,715 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international ensembles indicate a maximum temperature of 12°C in Buenos Aires today, driven by a stable high-pressure system and cool southerly flow suppressing daytime warming. This strong scientific consensus underpins the 97% market-implied probability for 12°C, consistent with typical early-spring climatology and recent observational trends showing limited diurnal rise. Traders assign negligible odds to higher thresholds given consistent model agreement on boundary-layer conditions. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted warm advection event or localized measurement anomaly exceeding standard station protocols, though current data make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 10, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Объем
$40,782Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 8:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international ensembles indicate a maximum temperature of 12°C in Buenos Aires today, driven by a stable high-pressure system and cool southerly flow suppressing daytime warming. This strong scientific consensus underpins the 97% market-implied probability for 12°C, consistent with typical early-spring climatology and recent observational trends showing limited diurnal rise. Traders assign negligible odds to higher thresholds given consistent model agreement on boundary-layer conditions. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted warm advection event or localized measurement anomaly exceeding standard station protocols, though current data make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$40,782Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 8:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international ensembles indicate a maximum temperature of 12°C in Buenos Aires today, driven by a stable high-pressure system and cool southerly flow suppressing daytime warming. This strong scientific consensus underpins the 97% market-implied probability for 12°C, consistent with typical early-spring climatology and recent observational trends showing limited diurnal rise. Traders assign negligible odds to higher thresholds given consistent model agreement on boundary-layer conditions. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted warm advection event or localized measurement anomaly exceeding standard station protocols, though current data make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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