Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on September 14 project afternoon highs near 100°F under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds of 5–10 mph. This stems from a persistent warm, humid air mass with dew points in the low-to-mid 70s supporting strong daytime heating, though scattered afternoon clouds could cap peaks. Model consensus places the most likely range at 98–101°F, consistent with recent days’ observed maxima near 100–103°F and well above the 91°F September climatological average. Subtle differences between 98–99°F and 100–101°F outcomes hinge on exact cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing, with any increase in moisture or earlier convection favoring the lower bin. Updated model runs and NWS briefings ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Остине 14 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Остине 14 сентября?
100-101°F 29%
98-99°F 27%
94–95°F 19%
96-97°F 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 сент. 2026 г.
89°F или ниже
4%
90-91°F
8%
92-93°F
10%
94–95°F
19%
96-97°F
14%
98-99°F
27%
100-101°F
30%
102-103°F
8%
104-105°F
10%
106-107°F
3%
108°F или выше
2%
100-101°F 29%
98-99°F 27%
94–95°F 19%
96-97°F 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 сент. 2026 г.
89°F или ниже
$0 Объем
4%
90-91°F
$0 Объем
8%
92-93°F
$0 Объем
10%
94–95°F
$0 Объем
19%
96-97°F
$36 Объем
14%
98-99°F
$37 Объем
27%
100-101°F
$178 Объем
30%
102-103°F
$74 Объем
8%
104-105°F
$0 Объем
10%
106-107°F
$0 Объем
3%
108°F или выше
$0 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on September 14 project afternoon highs near 100°F under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds of 5–10 mph. This stems from a persistent warm, humid air mass with dew points in the low-to-mid 70s supporting strong daytime heating, though scattered afternoon clouds could cap peaks. Model consensus places the most likely range at 98–101°F, consistent with recent days’ observed maxima near 100–103°F and well above the 91°F September climatological average. Subtle differences between 98–99°F and 100–101°F outcomes hinge on exact cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing, with any increase in moisture or earlier convection favoring the lower bin. Updated model runs and NWS briefings ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Объем
$325Дата окончания
14 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on September 14 project afternoon highs near 100°F under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds of 5–10 mph. This stems from a persistent warm, humid air mass with dew points in the low-to-mid 70s supporting strong daytime heating, though scattered afternoon clouds could cap peaks. Model consensus places the most likely range at 98–101°F, consistent with recent days’ observed maxima near 100–103°F and well above the 91°F September climatological average. Subtle differences between 98–99°F and 100–101°F outcomes hinge on exact cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing, with any increase in moisture or earlier convection favoring the lower bin. Updated model runs and NWS briefings ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$325Дата окончания
14 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on September 14 project afternoon highs near 100°F under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds of 5–10 mph. This stems from a persistent warm, humid air mass with dew points in the low-to-mid 70s supporting strong daytime heating, though scattered afternoon clouds could cap peaks. Model consensus places the most likely range at 98–101°F, consistent with recent days’ observed maxima near 100–103°F and well above the 91°F September climatological average. Subtle differences between 98–99°F and 100–101°F outcomes hinge on exact cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing, with any increase in moisture or earlier convection favoring the lower bin. Updated model runs and NWS briefings ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы