**Persistent cloud cover and widespread rainfall from ongoing atmospheric instability are suppressing daytime heating in São Paulo, keeping the highest temperature on September 14 centered near 17–18°C according to the latest model consensus.** High humidity, southeasterly flow, and thick low-to-mid-level clouds limit solar insolation, while light winds reduce mixing and surface warming. Official guidance from sources such as INMET and global ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) shows consistent overcast conditions with scattered to continuous showers, producing a narrow range of possible maxima. Minor differences in cloud timing or precipitation intensity between runs explain the tight market split between 17°C and 18°C, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer or cooler outliers. Final readings from INMET or Congonhas station data will resolve the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 14 сентября?
18°C 30%
17°C 27%
16°C 16%
19°C 16%
14°C или ниже
3%
15°C
5%
16°C
16%
17°C
27%
18°C
30%
19°C
16%
20°C
6%
21°C
3%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C или выше
<1%
18°C 30%
17°C 27%
16°C 16%
19°C 16%
14°C или ниже
3%
15°C
5%
16°C
16%
17°C
27%
18°C
30%
19°C
16%
20°C
6%
21°C
3%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 12, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloud cover and widespread rainfall from ongoing atmospheric instability are suppressing daytime heating in São Paulo, keeping the highest temperature on September 14 centered near 17–18°C according to the latest model consensus.** High humidity, southeasterly flow, and thick low-to-mid-level clouds limit solar insolation, while light winds reduce mixing and surface warming. Official guidance from sources such as INMET and global ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) shows consistent overcast conditions with scattered to continuous showers, producing a narrow range of possible maxima. Minor differences in cloud timing or precipitation intensity between runs explain the tight market split between 17°C and 18°C, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer or cooler outliers. Final readings from INMET or Congonhas station data will resolve the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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