Recent forecast models from multiple global ensembles indicate a daily maximum of 29–30°C in Shanghai on September 13 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow. This aligns with late-summer high-pressure dominance that limits cloud cover and supports gradual daytime warming without significant moisture advection. September climatology shows average highs near 27°C, placing the expected range modestly above baseline but below peak summer values. Low precipitation probabilities further stabilize the thermal profile. Updated model runs or official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of the observation period represent the key variables that could adjust market-implied odds for the exact peak temperature.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шанхае 13 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Шанхае 13 сентября?
29°C 54%
30°C 29%
28°C 13%
31°C 4%
НОВОЕ
$11,210 Объем
НОВОЕ
$11,210 Объем
13 сент. 2026 г.
26°C или ниже
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
13%
29°C
54%
30°C
29%
31°C
4%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C или выше
<1%
29°C 54%
30°C 29%
28°C 13%
31°C 4%
НОВОЕ
$11,210 Объем
НОВОЕ
$11,210 Объем
13 сент. 2026 г.
26°C или ниже
$170 Объем
<1%
27°C
$936 Объем
2%
28°C
$1,410 Объем
13%
29°C
$1,480 Объем
54%
30°C
$4,530 Объем
29%
31°C
$1,453 Объем
4%
32°C
$699 Объем
2%
33°C
$145 Объем
<1%
34°C
$106 Объем
<1%
35°C
$143 Объем
<1%
36°C или выше
$138 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from multiple global ensembles indicate a daily maximum of 29–30°C in Shanghai on September 13 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow. This aligns with late-summer high-pressure dominance that limits cloud cover and supports gradual daytime warming without significant moisture advection. September climatology shows average highs near 27°C, placing the expected range modestly above baseline but below peak summer values. Low precipitation probabilities further stabilize the thermal profile. Updated model runs or official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of the observation period represent the key variables that could adjust market-implied odds for the exact peak temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$11,210Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from multiple global ensembles indicate a daily maximum of 29–30°C in Shanghai on September 13 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow. This aligns with late-summer high-pressure dominance that limits cloud cover and supports gradual daytime warming without significant moisture advection. September climatology shows average highs near 27°C, placing the expected range modestly above baseline but below peak summer values. Low precipitation probabilities further stabilize the thermal profile. Updated model runs or official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of the observation period represent the key variables that could adjust market-implied odds for the exact peak temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$11,210Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from multiple global ensembles indicate a daily maximum of 29–30°C in Shanghai on September 13 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow. This aligns with late-summer high-pressure dominance that limits cloud cover and supports gradual daytime warming without significant moisture advection. September climatology shows average highs near 27°C, placing the expected range modestly above baseline but below peak summer values. Low precipitation probabilities further stabilize the thermal profile. Updated model runs or official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of the observation period represent the key variables that could adjust market-implied odds for the exact peak temperature.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы