**Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a minimum temperature in Shanghai of 22–23°C on September 13, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds of 2–5 m/s, and stable high pressure around 1018–1020 hPa.** Overnight radiative cooling under these conditions, with dew points near 19–20°C and humidity rising above 80% after midnight, supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 22°C and 24°C. Historical September climatology shows typical overnight lows near 20–22°C, but current model runs favor slightly milder values due to weak southerly flow aloft. Minor differences among GFS, ECMWF, and regional guidance create the observed 44.5%–38% split between 23°C and 24°C leaders, while any unexpected cloud cover or wind shift could push the reading toward 22°C. Official station data will resolve the market once the full 24-hour period ends.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Шанхае 13 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Шанхае 13 сентября?
23°C 53%
24°C 39%
21°C 9%
22°C 8%
НОВОЕ
$10,400 Объем
НОВОЕ
$10,400 Объем
13 сент. 2026 г.
19°C или ниже
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
9%
22°C
8%
23°C
53%
24°C
39%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C или выше
<1%
23°C 53%
24°C 39%
21°C 9%
22°C 8%
НОВОЕ
$10,400 Объем
НОВОЕ
$10,400 Объем
13 сент. 2026 г.
19°C или ниже
$153 Объем
<1%
20°C
$93 Объем
1%
21°C
$798 Объем
9%
22°C
$3,089 Объем
8%
23°C
$1,989 Объем
53%
24°C
$2,288 Объем
39%
25°C
$1,437 Объем
2%
26°C
$105 Объем
<1%
27°C
$193 Объем
1%
28°C
$93 Объем
<1%
29°C или выше
$163 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a minimum temperature in Shanghai of 22–23°C on September 13, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds of 2–5 m/s, and stable high pressure around 1018–1020 hPa.** Overnight radiative cooling under these conditions, with dew points near 19–20°C and humidity rising above 80% after midnight, supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 22°C and 24°C. Historical September climatology shows typical overnight lows near 20–22°C, but current model runs favor slightly milder values due to weak southerly flow aloft. Minor differences among GFS, ECMWF, and regional guidance create the observed 44.5%–38% split between 23°C and 24°C leaders, while any unexpected cloud cover or wind shift could push the reading toward 22°C. Official station data will resolve the market once the full 24-hour period ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$10,400Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a minimum temperature in Shanghai of 22–23°C on September 13, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds of 2–5 m/s, and stable high pressure around 1018–1020 hPa.** Overnight radiative cooling under these conditions, with dew points near 19–20°C and humidity rising above 80% after midnight, supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 22°C and 24°C. Historical September climatology shows typical overnight lows near 20–22°C, but current model runs favor slightly milder values due to weak southerly flow aloft. Minor differences among GFS, ECMWF, and regional guidance create the observed 44.5%–38% split between 23°C and 24°C leaders, while any unexpected cloud cover or wind shift could push the reading toward 22°C. Official station data will resolve the market once the full 24-hour period ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$10,400Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a minimum temperature in Shanghai of 22–23°C on September 13, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds of 2–5 m/s, and stable high pressure around 1018–1020 hPa.** Overnight radiative cooling under these conditions, with dew points near 19–20°C and humidity rising above 80% after midnight, supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 22°C and 24°C. Historical September climatology shows typical overnight lows near 20–22°C, but current model runs favor slightly milder values due to weak southerly flow aloft. Minor differences among GFS, ECMWF, and regional guidance create the observed 44.5%–38% split between 23°C and 24°C leaders, while any unexpected cloud cover or wind shift could push the reading toward 22°C. Official station data will resolve the market once the full 24-hour period ends.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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