**Forecast models and real-time observations point to a stable overnight low near 23–24°C in Shanghai on September 12 under clear to mostly clear skies, light northeasterly winds of 5–8 km/h, and surface high pressure around 1020 hPa.** These conditions limit radiative cooling and prevent significant temperature drops, aligning with the market’s 90.5% implied probability for a 24°C low. Historical September climatology for the region shows similar mild early-autumn nights when subtropical high pressure dominates. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected increase in cloud cover, a shift to stronger northerly flow, or localized urban heat-island effects that alter official station readings, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before the daily minimum is recorded.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Шанхае 12 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Шанхае 12 сентября?
24°C 99.4%
22°C 2.0%
23°C 1%
21°C <1%
$21,729 Объем
$21,729 Объем
12 сент. 2026 г.
18°C или ниже
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
99%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C или выше
<1%
24°C 99.4%
22°C 2.0%
23°C 1%
21°C <1%
$21,729 Объем
$21,729 Объем
12 сент. 2026 г.
18°C или ниже
$185 Объем
<1%
19°C
$155 Объем
<1%
20°C
$155 Объем
<1%
21°C
$2,075 Объем
<1%
22°C
$2,060 Объем
2%
23°C
$3,768 Объем
1%
24°C
$9,015 Объем
99%
25°C
$3,808 Объем
<1%
26°C
$186 Объем
<1%
27°C
$165 Объем
<1%
28°C или выше
$155 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and real-time observations point to a stable overnight low near 23–24°C in Shanghai on September 12 under clear to mostly clear skies, light northeasterly winds of 5–8 km/h, and surface high pressure around 1020 hPa.** These conditions limit radiative cooling and prevent significant temperature drops, aligning with the market’s 90.5% implied probability for a 24°C low. Historical September climatology for the region shows similar mild early-autumn nights when subtropical high pressure dominates. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected increase in cloud cover, a shift to stronger northerly flow, or localized urban heat-island effects that alter official station readings, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$21,729Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and real-time observations point to a stable overnight low near 23–24°C in Shanghai on September 12 under clear to mostly clear skies, light northeasterly winds of 5–8 km/h, and surface high pressure around 1020 hPa.** These conditions limit radiative cooling and prevent significant temperature drops, aligning with the market’s 90.5% implied probability for a 24°C low. Historical September climatology for the region shows similar mild early-autumn nights when subtropical high pressure dominates. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected increase in cloud cover, a shift to stronger northerly flow, or localized urban heat-island effects that alter official station readings, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$21,729Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and real-time observations point to a stable overnight low near 23–24°C in Shanghai on September 12 under clear to mostly clear skies, light northeasterly winds of 5–8 km/h, and surface high pressure around 1020 hPa.** These conditions limit radiative cooling and prevent significant temperature drops, aligning with the market’s 90.5% implied probability for a 24°C low. Historical September climatology for the region shows similar mild early-autumn nights when subtropical high pressure dominates. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected increase in cloud cover, a shift to stronger northerly flow, or localized urban heat-island effects that alter official station readings, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before the daily minimum is recorded.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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