**Forecast models indicate a maximum temperature of 19–20°C for Cape Town on September 12, driven by persistent cloud cover, southeasterly winds, and a chance of light showers that limit daytime heating.** Multiple runs from GFS and similar systems show afternoon peaks near 19°C under overcast skies, with humidity around 70–80% and moderate winds reducing the potential for stronger warming. This aligns closely with September climatological averages of about 19°C, though brief breaks in cloud could allow isolated readings to reach 21°C. Trader emphasis on the 21°C and 20°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact model timing of any clearing or precipitation, while lower probabilities for 22°C+ stem from the stabilizing marine influence and lack of strong warm advection. Updated guidance later today will clarify resolution thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Кейптауне 12 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Кейптауне 12 сентября?
21°C 32%
20°C 26%
22°C 19%
19°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
12 сент. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
7%
19°C
13%
20°C
26%
21°C
32%
22°C
19%
23°C
6%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C или выше
<1%
21°C 32%
20°C 26%
22°C 19%
19°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
12 сент. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
$131 Объем
2%
17°C
$253 Объем
2%
18°C
$545 Объем
7%
19°C
$460 Объем
13%
20°C
$741 Объем
26%
21°C
$1,554 Объем
32%
22°C
$936 Объем
19%
23°C
$446 Объем
6%
24°C
$54 Объем
4%
25°C
$47 Объем
2%
26°C или выше
$175 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a maximum temperature of 19–20°C for Cape Town on September 12, driven by persistent cloud cover, southeasterly winds, and a chance of light showers that limit daytime heating.** Multiple runs from GFS and similar systems show afternoon peaks near 19°C under overcast skies, with humidity around 70–80% and moderate winds reducing the potential for stronger warming. This aligns closely with September climatological averages of about 19°C, though brief breaks in cloud could allow isolated readings to reach 21°C. Trader emphasis on the 21°C and 20°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact model timing of any clearing or precipitation, while lower probabilities for 22°C+ stem from the stabilizing marine influence and lack of strong warm advection. Updated guidance later today will clarify resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$5,341Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a maximum temperature of 19–20°C for Cape Town on September 12, driven by persistent cloud cover, southeasterly winds, and a chance of light showers that limit daytime heating.** Multiple runs from GFS and similar systems show afternoon peaks near 19°C under overcast skies, with humidity around 70–80% and moderate winds reducing the potential for stronger warming. This aligns closely with September climatological averages of about 19°C, though brief breaks in cloud could allow isolated readings to reach 21°C. Trader emphasis on the 21°C and 20°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact model timing of any clearing or precipitation, while lower probabilities for 22°C+ stem from the stabilizing marine influence and lack of strong warm advection. Updated guidance later today will clarify resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$5,341Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models indicate a maximum temperature of 19–20°C for Cape Town on September 12, driven by persistent cloud cover, southeasterly winds, and a chance of light showers that limit daytime heating.** Multiple runs from GFS and similar systems show afternoon peaks near 19°C under overcast skies, with humidity around 70–80% and moderate winds reducing the potential for stronger warming. This aligns closely with September climatological averages of about 19°C, though brief breaks in cloud could allow isolated readings to reach 21°C. Trader emphasis on the 21°C and 20°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact model timing of any clearing or precipitation, while lower probabilities for 22°C+ stem from the stabilizing marine influence and lack of strong warm advection. Updated guidance later today will clarify resolution thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы