Persistent rain and cloud cover from a northerly flow are suppressing daytime warming in Tokyo on September 11, with multiple forecast models converging on a maximum near 20°C under near-100% precipitation probability and light northerly winds. This pattern, already evident in ongoing September 10 conditions, limits solar heating and keeps surface temperatures close to overnight lows around 19°C. Market-implied odds heavily favor 20–21°C outcomes because ensemble guidance shows minimal deviation from this cool, saturated regime, though brief afternoon breaks could allow a 22°C spike. Historical September baselines near 26–28°C underscore how anomalous the current setup is, with resolution hinging on final Japan Meteorological Agency observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Токио 11 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Токио 11 сентября?
21°C 43%
22°C 26%
20°C 24%
19°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 сент. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
24%
21°C
43%
22°C
26%
23°C
4%
24°C
2%
25°C или выше
<1%
21°C 43%
22°C 26%
20°C 24%
19°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 сент. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
$1,279 Объем
<1%
16°C
$1,165 Объем
<1%
17°C
$361 Объем
<1%
18°C
$20 Объем
1%
19°C
$320 Объем
5%
20°C
$2,384 Объем
24%
21°C
$1,180 Объем
43%
22°C
$1,256 Объем
26%
23°C
$839 Объем
4%
24°C
$259 Объем
2%
25°C или выше
$468 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and cloud cover from a northerly flow are suppressing daytime warming in Tokyo on September 11, with multiple forecast models converging on a maximum near 20°C under near-100% precipitation probability and light northerly winds. This pattern, already evident in ongoing September 10 conditions, limits solar heating and keeps surface temperatures close to overnight lows around 19°C. Market-implied odds heavily favor 20–21°C outcomes because ensemble guidance shows minimal deviation from this cool, saturated regime, though brief afternoon breaks could allow a 22°C spike. Historical September baselines near 26–28°C underscore how anomalous the current setup is, with resolution hinging on final Japan Meteorological Agency observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$9,530Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and cloud cover from a northerly flow are suppressing daytime warming in Tokyo on September 11, with multiple forecast models converging on a maximum near 20°C under near-100% precipitation probability and light northerly winds. This pattern, already evident in ongoing September 10 conditions, limits solar heating and keeps surface temperatures close to overnight lows around 19°C. Market-implied odds heavily favor 20–21°C outcomes because ensemble guidance shows minimal deviation from this cool, saturated regime, though brief afternoon breaks could allow a 22°C spike. Historical September baselines near 26–28°C underscore how anomalous the current setup is, with resolution hinging on final Japan Meteorological Agency observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$9,530Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Persistent rain and cloud cover from a northerly flow are suppressing daytime warming in Tokyo on September 11, with multiple forecast models converging on a maximum near 20°C under near-100% precipitation probability and light northerly winds. This pattern, already evident in ongoing September 10 conditions, limits solar heating and keeps surface temperatures close to overnight lows around 19°C. Market-implied odds heavily favor 20–21°C outcomes because ensemble guidance shows minimal deviation from this cool, saturated regime, though brief afternoon breaks could allow a 22°C spike. Historical September baselines near 26–28°C underscore how anomalous the current setup is, with resolution hinging on final Japan Meteorological Agency observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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