**Trader sentiment for Panama City’s September 12 high temperature centers on 32°C as the leading outcome, driven by official forecasts and recent model runs showing afternoon peaks of 30–32°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms.** Typical September climatology supports highs near 30°C, but current conditions—high humidity, light winds, and variable cloud cover—allow for brief clearing that could push readings to 32°C before convective activity builds. Multiple guidance sources indicate a tight range around 29–31°C, with upside risk from reduced rainfall timing or stronger insolation. Lower probabilities for 33°C+ reflect the moderating influence of frequent showers and the historical rarity of exceeding seasonal norms in this equatorial setting. Updated observations and afternoon model guidance will refine these market-implied odds as the day progresses.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Панаме 12 сентября?
32°C 59%
31°C 19%
33°C или выше 16%
30°C 4%
$6,143 Объем
$6,143 Объем
23°C или ниже
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
19%
32°C
59%
33°C или выше
16%
32°C 59%
31°C 19%
33°C или выше 16%
30°C 4%
$6,143 Объем
$6,143 Объем
23°C или ниже
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
19%
32°C
59%
33°C или выше
16%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 10, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Panama City’s September 12 high temperature centers on 32°C as the leading outcome, driven by official forecasts and recent model runs showing afternoon peaks of 30–32°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms.** Typical September climatology supports highs near 30°C, but current conditions—high humidity, light winds, and variable cloud cover—allow for brief clearing that could push readings to 32°C before convective activity builds. Multiple guidance sources indicate a tight range around 29–31°C, with upside risk from reduced rainfall timing or stronger insolation. Lower probabilities for 33°C+ reflect the moderating influence of frequent showers and the historical rarity of exceeding seasonal norms in this equatorial setting. Updated observations and afternoon model guidance will refine these market-implied odds as the day progresses.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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