Recent forecasts from the Met Office and global models indicate a peak temperature of 23–24°C in London today, driven by moderate southwesterly flow advecting mild Atlantic air under partly cloudy skies that limit extreme daytime heating. This aligns with early September climatology, where average highs near 20.5°C can rise modestly with clear intervals and light winds, yet remain well below historical September maxima above 30°C. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 23°C (43.5%) and 24°C (31.0%) because current observations and model runs show afternoon readings stabilizing in that narrow band, with only low odds assigned to outliers like 25°C or cooler values if cloud cover thickens unexpectedly. Updated guidance through the afternoon will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лондоне 12 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Лондоне 12 сентября?
23°C 45%
24°C 32%
22°C 16%
25°C 6%
$35,872 Объем
$35,872 Объем
12 сент. 2026 г.
17°C или ниже
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
16%
23°C
45%
24°C
32%
25°C
6%
26°C
2%
27°C или выше
<1%
23°C 45%
24°C 32%
22°C 16%
25°C 6%
$35,872 Объем
$35,872 Объем
12 сент. 2026 г.
17°C или ниже
$360 Объем
<1%
18°C
$3,171 Объем
<1%
19°C
$385 Объем
<1%
20°C
$2,110 Объем
1%
21°C
$4,692 Объем
2%
22°C
$4,069 Объем
16%
23°C
$5,683 Объем
45%
24°C
$7,586 Объем
32%
25°C
$4,010 Объем
6%
26°C
$2,359 Объем
2%
27°C или выше
$1,447 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and global models indicate a peak temperature of 23–24°C in London today, driven by moderate southwesterly flow advecting mild Atlantic air under partly cloudy skies that limit extreme daytime heating. This aligns with early September climatology, where average highs near 20.5°C can rise modestly with clear intervals and light winds, yet remain well below historical September maxima above 30°C. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 23°C (43.5%) and 24°C (31.0%) because current observations and model runs show afternoon readings stabilizing in that narrow band, with only low odds assigned to outliers like 25°C or cooler values if cloud cover thickens unexpectedly. Updated guidance through the afternoon will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 10, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Объем
$35,872Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 12:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and global models indicate a peak temperature of 23–24°C in London today, driven by moderate southwesterly flow advecting mild Atlantic air under partly cloudy skies that limit extreme daytime heating. This aligns with early September climatology, where average highs near 20.5°C can rise modestly with clear intervals and light winds, yet remain well below historical September maxima above 30°C. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 23°C (43.5%) and 24°C (31.0%) because current observations and model runs show afternoon readings stabilizing in that narrow band, with only low odds assigned to outliers like 25°C or cooler values if cloud cover thickens unexpectedly. Updated guidance through the afternoon will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$35,872Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 12:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Met Office and global models indicate a peak temperature of 23–24°C in London today, driven by moderate southwesterly flow advecting mild Atlantic air under partly cloudy skies that limit extreme daytime heating. This aligns with early September climatology, where average highs near 20.5°C can rise modestly with clear intervals and light winds, yet remain well below historical September maxima above 30°C. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 23°C (43.5%) and 24°C (31.0%) because current observations and model runs show afternoon readings stabilizing in that narrow band, with only low odds assigned to outliers like 25°C or cooler values if cloud cover thickens unexpectedly. Updated guidance through the afternoon will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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